Win rate
59.6%
106 W / 72 L
Total PnL
$-3,790
realized $-4,845 · unrealized $1,055
Portfolio
$1,055
volume $121,371
Predictions
177
3.5/day · avg $686
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/12/2020 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 67% +$1,236
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card) | Joe Pyfer | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | win |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025? | No | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31? | No | 49¢ | 0¢ | +$237 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$158 | win |
| Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30? | No | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Other 67% +$567
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego | Lorenzo Sonego | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinka | Stan Wawrinka | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor | Tallon Griekspoor | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illini | Connecticut Huskies | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears | Baylor Bears | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Stanford Cardinal vs. West Virginia Mountaineers | West Virginia Mountaineers | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Creighton Bluejays | Creighton Bluejays | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Illinois State Redbirds vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Sports 53% +$438
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims) | Mitch Raposo | 37¢ | 50¢ | +$18 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims) | Dennis Buzukja | 22¢ | 22¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Karine Silva | 29¢ | 28¢ | $-3 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis (Bantamweight, Prelims) | John Yannis | 31¢ | 30¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert (Lightweight, Main Card) | Jai Herbert | 38¢ | 40¢ | +$2 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Tanner Boser | 40¢ | 42¢ | +$2 | win |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Lakers | 35¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Kyler Phillips | 43¢ | 46¢ | +$6 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: Robert Valentin vs. Julien LeBlanc (Middleweight, Main Card) | Julien LeBlanc | 40¢ | 40¢ | $-1 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin (Bantamweight, Prelims) | Mark Vologdin | 47¢ | 42¢ | $-9 | loss |
Weather 100% +$69
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| New Mexico Lobos vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
Mentions 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Economy 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after October 2025 meeting? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Culture 50% $-223
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-224 | loss |
| Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 33% $-460
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT ads by March 31? | No | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-169 | loss |
| Will Bianca Censori rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | No | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-213 | loss |
| Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 43% $-533
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 36¢ | 27¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-144 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | Yes | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Biden finish his term? | Yes | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-342 | loss |
| Will the Republican candidate win Nevada by 3.0%-4.0%? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | win |
Crypto 79% $-1,324
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 31? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $106K on July 1? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $107K on June 30 at 5PM ET? | No | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 30? | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 29? | Up | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on June 29 at 5PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Solana above $200 on November 15? | Yes | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on August 30? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-592 | loss |
| Ethereum above $2,500 on August 30? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-846 | loss |
Elections 53% $-3,566
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 18¢ | 17¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will the Democrats 66 win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-363 | loss |
| Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Georgescu banned from Romania election? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | +$135 | win |
| Trump wins every swing state? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| CA-41 election: Rollins (D) vs. Calvert (R) | Calvert | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| AZ-06 election: Engel (D) vs. Ciscomani (R) | Ciscomani | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| CA-45 election: Tran (D) vs. Steel (R) | Tran | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-3,024 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Timberwolves | 31.0¢ | 28¢ | $-7 | $60 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Knicks | Hawks | 35.0¢ | 32¢ | $-4 | $60 | 18/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Magic | Magic | 39.3¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | Trail Blazers | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | Magic | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 15/04/2026 |
| Pelicans vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Gael Monfils vs Tallon Griekspoor | Tallon Griekspoor | 48.8¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Thunder | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 13/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Celtics | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | $80 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims) | Vicente Luque | 30.1¢ | 100¢ | +$142 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Paulo Costa | 32.8¢ | 100¢ | +$123 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Josh Hokit | 47.3¢ | 100¢ | +$67 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Carlos Ulberg | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Patricio Pitbull vs. Aaron Pico (Featherweight, Prelims) | Aaron Pico | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Chris Padilla vs. MarQuel Mederos (Lightweight, Early Prelims) | MarQuel Mederos | 42.1¢ | 50¢ | +$9 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Charles Radtke vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Early Prelims) | Francisco Prado | 38.8¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Johnny Walker vs. Dominick Reyes (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | Johnny Walker | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Tatiana Suarez vs. Loopy Godínez (Women's Strawweight, Early Prelims) | Loopy Godínez | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Kevin Holland vs. Randy Brown (Welterweight, Prelims) | Randy Brown | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims) | Nate Landwehr | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Heat | Hawks | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 12/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Lakers | 44.2¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $60 | 11/04/2026 |
| Nets vs. Bucks | Bucks | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $60 | 11/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/04/2026 |
| Grizzlies vs. Jazz | Grizzlies | 40.2¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 11/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Pistons | 39.1¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $60 | 10/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Bulls | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Nets | Nets | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | Celtics | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 09/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Suns | Rockets | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Celtics | Celtics | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $50 | 08/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $49 | 08/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bulls vs. Wizards | Bulls | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bucks vs. Nets | Bucks | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 07/04/2026 |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Magic | 40.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | Hawks | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 06/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Darrius Flowers (Lightweight, Prelims) | Darrius Flowers | 34.0¢ | 100¢ | +$78 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Thomas Petersen vs. Guilherme Pat (Heavyweight, Prelims) | Thomas Petersen | 52.5¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Ethyn Ewing | 55.7¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Melissa Gatto vs. Dione Barbosa (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) | Melissa Gatto | 48.2¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Virna Jandiroba vs. Tabatha Ricci (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) | Tabatha Ricci | 46.5¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 05/04/2026 |
| Hornets vs. Timberwolves | Timberwolves | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 05/04/2026 |