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0x58A180eca25cF4bCB81E000789728F70E3B611e4-1770124989422
0x58a180eca25cf4bcb81e000789728f70e3b611e4 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
68.6%
35 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$287
realized $-1,373 · unrealized $1,660
Portfolio
$1,660
volume $15,353
Predictions
72
1.5/day · avg $213
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Politics 83% +$175
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 50¢ | 52¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 62¢ | 61¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 75¢ | 94¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
Other 88% +$124
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? | Yes | 59¢ | 64¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | 74¢ | 64¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 66¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 79¢ | 98¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 77¢ | 93¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 82¢ | 99¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 52% +$26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | win |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 67¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 73¢ | 66¢ | $-7 | loss |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? | No | 68¢ | 97¢ | +$40 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | No | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | loss |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | win |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 54¢ | 47¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 63¢ | +$26 | win |
Sports 100% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Weather 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 6? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 82.3¢ | 99¢ | +$24 | $120 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $58 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on April 6? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $70 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 84.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| US strikes Iraq by March 7? | Yes | 80.5¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $50 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 94¢ | +$15 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 63¢ | +$26 | $60 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by March 13? | No | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 13/03/2026 |
| Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $30 | 07/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? | No | 92.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $210 | 03/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | No | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $250 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | No | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $100 | 31/10/2025 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 5? | Yes | 73.3¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $230 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 3? | Yes | 75.2¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | No | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $30 | 01/01/1970 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | No | 94.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Germany strike Iran by March 31? | No | 91.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $150 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 60.2¢ | 0¢ | $-85 | $160 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | No | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 6? | Yes | 65.7¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $450 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 4? | Yes | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | $-442 | $450 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 52¢ | +$5 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | $150 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April? | No | 83.0¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | No | 85.0¢ | 94¢ | +$11 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 87.0¢ | 98¢ | +$13 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April? | Yes | 62.5¢ | 61¢ | $-1 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | No | 79.0¢ | 98¢ | +$12 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Yes | 54.3¢ | 47¢ | $-4 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 77.4¢ | 93¢ | +$6 | $30 | 30/04/2026 |
| US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30? | No | 68.0¢ | 97¢ | +$40 | $100 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $50 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026? | No | 66.8¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026? | No | 32.8¢ | 0¢ | $-69 | $75 | 30/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Yes | 71.9¢ | 80¢ | +$24 | $200 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 81.3¢ | 76¢ | $-9 | $130 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 73.0¢ | 66¢ | $-7 | $75 | 31/05/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 76¢ | +$6 | $40 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 51.9¢ | 100¢ | +$361 | $390 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 86¢ | +$19 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? | No | 73.6¢ | 64¢ | $-12 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Yes | 68.6¢ | 68¢ | $-1 | $40 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,100 by end of June? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 64¢ | +$3 | $30 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | Yes | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$177 | $280 | 30/06/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 60.7¢ | 100¢ | +$65 | $100 | 30/06/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $30 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 30/06/2026 |