Win rate
68.7%
1145 W / 522 L
Total PnL
$10,968
realized $-8,784 · unrealized $19,752
Portfolio
$19,752
volume $1,701,420
Predictions
2,130
9.2/day · avg $799
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 19/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 72% +$6,923
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Sociedad win Copa Del Rey? | No | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-208 | loss |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-1,829 | loss |
| Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | loss |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | No | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Yes | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Loic Meillard (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Atle Lie McGrath (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
| Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 24¢ | 0¢ | $-149 | loss |
| Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Gabriel Bortoleto achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 85% +$1,792
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 30¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | No | 73¢ | 68¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | No | 39¢ | 40¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$9 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$51 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | win |
| Will Ukraine win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 4 X 6km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Other 67% +$609
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | No | 61¢ | 64¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Luxembourg be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Serbia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 84¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Serbia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 87¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? | No | 38¢ | 36¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Romania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 44¢ | 57¢ | +$143 | win |
| Will Norway advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | No | 24¢ | 32¢ | +$29 | win |
Elections 70% +$542
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will Scottish Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Welsh Conservatives win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-173 | loss |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-48 | loss |
| Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
Politics 86% +$440
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Denmark win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Romania win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 8¢ | 7¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Trump and Zelenskyy hug in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by October 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in October? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Tomahawk" 3+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17? | Yes | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
Culture 66% +$226
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$280 | win |
| Will Cutting Through Rocks win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 21¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 41¢ | 100¢ | +$87 | win |
| Will Teyana Taylor win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | win |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
Crypto 75% +$206
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Down | 42¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 5AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 11AM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 12PM ET | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
Finance 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Florian Lipowitz win the Tour de France 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Atlético Madrid win Copa Del Rey? | No | 29.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1,207 | $597 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-18? | No | 76.4¢ | 100¢ | +$241 | $781 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 51.5¢ | 0¢ | $-350 | $351 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad win Copa Del Rey? | No | 52.7¢ | 0¢ | $-208 | $208 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 29.7¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | $77 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Ferencváros reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | No | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $439 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace reach the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-finals? | Yes | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $75 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Betis reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $115 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Aston Villa reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $245 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Lille reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $245 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $119 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Roma reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Braga reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Lech Poznań reach the UEFA Europa Conference League quarter-finals? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Porto reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | No | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $-89 | $89 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Midtjylland reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-441 | $441 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest reach the UEFA Europa League quarter-finals? | No | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-535 | $535 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Bodø/Glimt reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 25.2¢ | 100¢ | +$500 | $281 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 21.5¢ | 100¢ | +$443 | $224 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Galatasaray reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 72.1¢ | 100¢ | +$258 | $665 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 72.3¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $470 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $266 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $1,172 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $747 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $122 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Atalanta reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $211 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-18 | $23 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 3.5¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $42 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 5.1¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Chelsea reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | Yes | 1.4¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 7.0¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | $70 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 3.0¢ | 0¢ | $-97 | $110 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 23.9¢ | 0¢ | $-141 | $243 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | FC Bayern München | 86.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $125 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 8.4¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | $36 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | $424 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $428 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | FC Barcelona | 17.7¢ | 0¢ | $-84 | $84 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | FC Barcelona | 33.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 41.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1,418 | $1,279 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $317 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 66.9¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $294 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 73.1¢ | 100¢ | +$102 | $472 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 0¢ | +$78 | $1,198 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $158 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 90.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,453 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 94.1¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $250 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $106 | 12/04/2026 |