Win rate
63.2%
12 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$79
realized $-567 · unrealized $646
Portfolio
$646
volume $19,778
Predictions
38
0.5/day · avg $520
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/05/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 71% +$99
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15¢ | 16¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 96¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | — |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | +$95 | win |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5 | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 88¢ | 89¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Geopolitics 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
Culture 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
Other 40% $-22
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 5¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Recent Trades (25)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Rebounds O/U 6.5 | Yes | 20.7¢ | 0¢ | +$95 | $77 | 18/03/2026 |
| Jaren Jackson Jr.: Points O/U 21.5 | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $252 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $277 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $236 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $161 | 15/03/2026 |
| Vince Williams Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5 | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $275 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | No | 95.1¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $115 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $32 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $24 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $60 | 04/11/2025 |
| Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $74 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on August 15? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $39 | 15/08/2025 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $43 | 03/08/2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 31/07/2025 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $709 | 07/06/2026 |
| Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.7¢ | 5¢ | $-22 | $84 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 95.6¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | $709 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 96.3¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | $642 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 15.4¢ | 16¢ | +$2 | $101 | 20/07/2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.5¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $646 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 88.3¢ | 89¢ | +$2 | $641 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17.1¢ | 17¢ | +$0 | $228 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 97.1¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $35 | 07/11/2028 |