largeleeks888

Geopolitics 75% +$100 $145,259 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	90¢	91¢	+$19	win
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	71¢	100¢	$-40	loss
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by February 28?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-20	loss
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$254	win
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?	No	100¢	100¢	+$21	win

Elections 100% +$87 $351,141 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$87	win
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	50¢	0¢	+$0	—

Economy 71% +$27 $25,868 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-7	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$2	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	50¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	—

Culture 0% $-4 $26 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	26¢	0¢	$-4	loss

Other 84% $-25 $499,823 vol · 132 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	99¢	100¢	+$18	win
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	93¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?	No	81¢	92¢	+$6	win
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	85¢	98¢	+$9	win
Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 17?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 15?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$21	win
Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on April 14?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Politics 57% $-149 $29,289 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	50¢	72¢	+$0	—
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	28¢	+$0	—
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	98¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$61	win
Will Trump pardon CZ by October 31?	No	95¢	0¢	$-285	loss
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?	No	50¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Trump and Xi not shake hands on October 30, 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$77	win
Will Trump announce TikTok deal by Thursday?	Yes	50¢	0¢	$-100	loss
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 94% $-172 $21,343 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $275 on February 5?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 5?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on February 5?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on February 4?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 on February 3?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $510 end of January?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 28?	Up	33¢	100¢	$-204	loss
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on January 27?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 23?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Sports 80% $-895 $98,742 vol · 56 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	31¢	0¢	$-10	loss
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 225.5	Over	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)	Spurs	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Josh Giddey: Points O/U 15.5	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Jalen Suggs: Points O/U 11.5	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 228.5	Under	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Spread: Hornets (-7.5)	Hornets	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$109	win
Will Tainy perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 95% $-2,704 $631,594 vol · 44 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 17?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 16?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$30	win
Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on April 15?	Down	49¢	0¢	$-94	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 13?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$18	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 10?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$19	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 9?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$65	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 8?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7?	Down	100¢	100¢	+$8	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?	Up	81¢	100¢	$-3,634	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 31?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$10	win

Weather 99% $-15,343 $10,773,682 vol · 3844 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 13°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 27°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C or higher on April 17?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 9°C or below on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 94% $-41,917 $2,044,338 vol · 613 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$17	win
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	88¢	98¢	+$10	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 17?	No	100¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will Backpack launch a token on March 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 23?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$99	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 1?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	100¢	100¢	+$2	win