0B06

Other 71% +$13,089 $132,533 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Lighter FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	93¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	Yes	91¢	27¢	$-1,518	loss
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$176	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	69¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?	No	66¢	100¢	+$75	win
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	No	14¢	100¢	+$49	win
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?	Yes	78¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy	Yes	19¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-583	loss
US government shutdown Saturday?	No	29¢	0¢	$-150	loss

Elections 67% +$1,658 $17,552 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	77¢	100¢	+$600	win
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	86¢	100¢	$-35	loss
Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	No	94¢	95¢	$-15	loss
Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	65¢	100¢	+$135	win
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	No	93¢	100¢	+$875	win
Will Mark Golding be the next Prime Minister of Jamaica after the election?	No	79¢	100¢	+$97	win

Tech 100% +$1,081 $8,541 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$118	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$195	win
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$723	win
Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 10?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Mentions 92% +$554 $9,938 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-15	loss
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?	Yes	52¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?	No	55¢	100¢	+$130	win
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	Yes	35¢	0¢	+$13	win

Economy 40% +$465 $46,487 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	No	74¢	100¢	$-52	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	27¢	0¢	$-800	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$70	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?	No	88¢	100¢	+$1,587	win

Finance 100% +$331 $789 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Robinhood say "Football" during earnings call?	No	35¢	100¢	+$330	win
Will Robinhood Markets (HOOD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 50% +$191 $1,242 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)	Pimblett	69¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor	Tate	85¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?	No	74¢	100¢	+$178	win
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during September press conference?	No	77¢	100¢	+$161	win

Politics 67% $-1,178 $38,112 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 13, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Trump say "Hell" 6+ times during Cabinet meeting on March 26?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-345	loss
Will Trump say "Globalist" or "Global" during WEF Address on January 21?	Yes	81¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?	Yes	49¢	100¢	+$107	win
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?	Yes	45¢	100¢	+$68	win
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?	No	66¢	0¢	+$14	win
Will Leavitt say "Biden" 6+ times during next White House press briefing?	No	78¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	94¢	100¢	$-371	loss

Geopolitics 61% $-3,338 $41,909 vol · 38 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	31¢	66¢	+$18	win
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$96	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	No	85¢	54¢	+$16	win
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-220	loss
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	No	74¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	No	82¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$48	win
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?	Yes	7¢	0¢	$-39	loss
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss

Crypto 64% $-8,973 $236,925 vol · 106 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	69¢	64¢	$-119	loss
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	No	62¢	51¢	$-387	loss
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	50¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	Yes	79¢	8¢	$-197	loss
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 7-13?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 7-13?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$76	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 31-April 6?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 24-30?	No	77¢	100¢	+$585	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase March 24-30?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2	win