Win rate
30.4%
28 W / 64 L
Total PnL
$-1,340
realized $-2,695 · unrealized $1,356
Portfolio
$1,356
volume $210,867
Predictions
103
2.2/day · avg $2,047
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Crypto 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 10? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Elections 20% $-5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Politics 0% $-30
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Weather 33% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$225 | win |
| Will there be fewer than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-224 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Over | 51¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
Geopolitics 79% $-58
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 27% $-212
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21? | No | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5) | Troy Trojans | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | No | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | loss |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
Sports 4% $-996
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Pistons vs. Magic | Pistons | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-748 | loss |
| Blue Jackets vs. Flyers | Flyers | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Magic | Mavericks | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | loss |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Hurricanes | 63¢ | 0¢ | $-167 | loss |
| Canadiens vs. Wild | Wild | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pistons vs. Magic | Pistons | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-748 | $748 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,570 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $60 | 31/03/2026 |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 141.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | $510 | 27/03/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Flyers | Flyers | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | $82 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 22? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $73 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21? | No | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $95 | 21/03/2026 |
| Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-13.5) | Troy Trojans | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-93 | $93 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | No | 60.9¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $34 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09? | No | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-112 | $112 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Valencia CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $111 | 08/03/2026 |
| Will Levante UD win on 2026-03-07? | No | 64.9¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $83 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-06? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $126 | 06/03/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Magic | Mavericks | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-116 | $116 | 06/03/2026 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kraken | Hurricanes | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-167 | $167 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-03-02? | No | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-124 | $124 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-81 | $81 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $23 | 28/02/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.2¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $41 | 27/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 10? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on February 6? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $54 | 05/02/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Wild | Wild | 53.1¢ | 100¢ | +$161 | $183 | 03/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $82 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 28/01/2026 |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,356 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $733 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,103 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,351 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Albania win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,360 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,430 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $403 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $512 | 30/05/2026 |
| Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,509 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,588 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,924 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,432 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,201 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,006 | 01/07/2026 |