Win rate
35.1%
39 W / 72 L
Total PnL
$626
realized $-141 · unrealized $767
Portfolio
$767
volume $142,670
Predictions
188
4.2/day · avg $759
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/02/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 21% +$486
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 71¢ | 71¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 69¢ | 72¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | win |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Pittsburgh Pirates | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$785 | win |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 9¢ | 0¢ | $-395 | loss |
Esports 100% +$84
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
Other 37% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 79¢ | 74¢ | $-4 | loss |
| GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 84¢ | +$1 | win |
| GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 61¢ | 70¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 15¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 83¢ | 82¢ | +$1 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Yes | 19¢ | 18¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 58¢ | 57¢ | $-0 | loss |
Crypto 58% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $60k | 48¢ | 24¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $80k | 64¢ | 76¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 42¢ | 29¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 74¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 78¢ | +$4 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | No | 47¢ | 34¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | Yes | 51¢ | 10¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | No | 73¢ | 69¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Finance 40% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKX IPO in 2026? | Yes | 12¢ | 14¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ledger IPO before 2027? | Yes | 47¢ | 24¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 68¢ | 87¢ | +$23 | win |
Elections 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 54¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Yes | 72¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Economy 0% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Geopolitics 25% $-3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | 89¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Tech 25% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$3 | win |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | 46¢ | 39¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Google have the top AI model on February 28? | Yes | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 42.8¢ | 100¢ | +$146 | $109 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $41 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $32 | 13/04/2026 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 34.9¢ | 100¢ | +$144 | $77 | 08/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Pittsburgh Pirates | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $39 | 08/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 29.5¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | $33 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $25 | 07/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Cincinnati Reds | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $38 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 5? | Yes | 53.8¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $28 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | No | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $47 | 04/04/2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 34.5¢ | 100¢ | +$785 | $414 | 02/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 9.1¢ | 0¢ | $-395 | $565 | 02/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports | 75.1¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $253 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown last 70 days or more? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 87¢ | +$5 | $91 | 14/03/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $47 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 54.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $76 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | No | 54.4¢ | 46¢ | $-33 | $226 | 31/12/2025 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? | No | 80.6¢ | 69¢ | $-17 | $127 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Liam Lawson be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,000 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | Yes | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $33 | 30/06/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | No | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $52 | 30/06/2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $32 | 30/06/2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 75.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $31 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $26 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 72.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $80 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,000 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $1,999 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,995 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the Eastern Conference? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 05/06/2025 |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the Eastern Conference? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 05/06/2025 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference? | No | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $61 | 05/06/2025 |
| Will the Miami Heat win the Eastern Conference? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,000 | 05/06/2025 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $58 | 05/06/2025 |
| Will Real Madrid win La Liga? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $40 | 25/05/2025 |
| Will another team win the Serie A? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 25/05/2025 |
| Will Juventus win the Serie A? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 25/05/2025 |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,000 | 25/05/2025 |
| Will Inter Milan win the Serie A? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $41 | 25/05/2025 |
| Will Lazio win the Serie A? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $3,000 | 25/05/2025 |
| Will Spain win Eurovision 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,000 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will San Marino win Eurovision 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,000 | 17/05/2025 |
| Will Iceland win Eurovision 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $3,000 | 17/05/2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,998 | 07/05/2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $38 | 29/04/2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $37 | 20/04/2025 |