Win rate
42.3%
55 W / 75 L
Total PnL
$43,756
realized $27,864 · unrealized $15,892
Portfolio
$15,892
volume $1,262,411
Predictions
176
4.6/day · avg $7,173
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 48% +$40,128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | +$16 | win |
| Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first? | Leadership Change | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | loss |
| Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 20¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 21¢ | 14¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 20¢ | 18¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 24¢ | 22¢ | $-105 | loss |
| Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$317 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $-918 | loss |
Other 33% +$497
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? | Yes | 49¢ | 16¢ | $-76 | loss |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 4¢ | $-427 | loss |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? | Yes | 71¢ | 87¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 25¢ | 46¢ | $-394 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April? | Yes | 9¢ | 22¢ | +$1,135 | win |
| Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 46¢ | 46¢ | +$4 | win |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7¢ | 100¢ | +$399 | win |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | FC Barcelona | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-340 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 15¢ | 100¢ | $-74 | loss |
Mentions 100% +$315
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netanyahu tweet again by Saturday? | No | 39¢ | 100¢ | +$315 | win |
Crypto 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | Down | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
Sports 35% $-465
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 53¢ | 100¢ | +$881 | win |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | loss |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | loss |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) | Nuggets | 34¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Rockets | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | loss |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jazz | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) | Magic | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Pacers | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-202 | loss |
| Spread: Suns (-10.5) | Suns | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-310 | loss |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | Pistons | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$338 | win |
Politics 25% $-4,054
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 46.0¢ | 46¢ | +$4 | $400 | 17/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 62.4¢ | 90¢ | +$16,335 | $36,892 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3,808 | $1,312 | 15/04/2026 |
| Magic vs. 76ers | 76ers | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$881 | $2,000 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15? | Yes | 8.0¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | $53 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) | Real Madrid CF | 4.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) | Real Madrid CF | 16.3¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | No | 45.9¢ | 11¢ | $-201 | $3,098 | 15/04/2026 |
| Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 27.0¢ | 100¢ | $-232 | $1,088 | 15/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-3.5) | Suns | 48.7¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $410 | 15/04/2026 |
| Clippers vs. Trail Blazers | Clippers | 44.7¢ | 0¢ | $-400 | $400 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | Yes | 6.0¢ | 0¢ | +$146 | $50 | 10/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10? | Yes | 3.9¢ | 0¢ | +$113 | $22 | 10/04/2026 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | Club Atlético de Madrid | 7.0¢ | 100¢ | +$399 | $30 | 08/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | FC Barcelona | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-340 | $340 | 08/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 50.3¢ | 90¢ | +$17,678 | $20,804 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $1,004 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 51.6¢ | 10¢ | $-4 | $200 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) | Nuggets | 34.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $102 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | Rockets | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 06/04/2026 |
| Spread: Rockets (-4.5) | Rockets | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $410 | 06/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jazz | 2.1¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Magic (-5.5) | Magic | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 05/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Pacers | 20.1¢ | 0¢ | $-202 | $202 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Suns (-10.5) | Suns | 43.6¢ | 0¢ | $-310 | $310 | 05/04/2026 |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | Pistons | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$338 | $300 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Celtics (-18.5) | Celtics | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $100 | 04/04/2026 |
| Spread: Hawks (-16.5) | Hawks | 50.6¢ | 100¢ | +$302 | $310 | 03/04/2026 |
| Deni Avdija: Points O/U 26.5 | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$208 | $192 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-13.5) | Knicks | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $80 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-2.5) | Clippers | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Spread: Raptors (-13.5) | Raptors | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 02/04/2026 |
| Spread: Celtics (-5.5) | Celtics | 46.0¢ | 100¢ | +$59 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Knicks | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 01/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Clippers | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | $150 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 0¢ | +$535 | $3,750 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$403 | $771 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran leadership change by March 31? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$336 | $1,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: Hornets (-17.5) | Hornets | 53.3¢ | 100¢ | +$284 | $324 | 31/03/2026 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-8.5) | Timberwolves | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | Yes | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | +$180 | $9,618 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | Yes | 17.0¢ | 0¢ | +$70 | $85 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$60 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 49.3¢ | 0¢ | +$36 | $410 | 31/03/2026 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $391 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 24, 2026? | Yes | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $34 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March? | No | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $335 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 15? | Yes | 12.0¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | $61 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31? | Yes | 9.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 31/03/2026 |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7? | Yes | 20.3¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $207 | 31/03/2026 |