redvinny

Economy 70% +$31,334 $377,582 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	75¢	80¢	+$641	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	83¢	92¢	+$1,151	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	No	63¢	8¢	$-1,628	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	99¢	+$1,166	win
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$2,562	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	77¢	100¢	+$1,022	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	66¢	0¢	$-1,553	loss
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?	No	65¢	0¢	$-253	loss

Culture 89% +$14,469 $51,925 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?	Yes	74¢	78¢	+$230	win
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$6,785	win
Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$548	win
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Visual Effects at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$49	win
Will Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$6,835	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	77¢	100¢	+$45	win
Will A Minecraft Movie be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$35	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-104	loss

Geopolitics 100% +$5,453 $121,152 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$14	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$201	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$1,160	win
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?	No	88¢	100¢	+$57	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?	No	90¢	100¢	+$2,842	win
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-13?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1,178	win

Politics 75% +$2,000 $78,838 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	56¢	0¢	$-761	loss
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	No	54¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	No	66¢	92¢	+$1,296	win
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	Yes	61¢	92¢	+$128	win
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 2+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$264	win
Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 50+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	No	16¢	0¢	$-227	loss
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?	No	52¢	0¢	+$190	win

Elections 50% +$609 $25,680 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	55¢	56¢	$-0	loss
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	55¢	55¢	$-34	loss
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	37¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$641	win

Tech 75% +$11 $7,997 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?	SpaceX	92¢	94¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA reach $216 in November?	No	88¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of November?	No	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Finance 70% $-1,099 $131,774 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	68¢	69¢	+$13	win
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?	No	92¢	97¢	+$-0	—
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	84¢	95¢	+$15	win
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	87¢	90¢	+$12	win
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	93¢	92¢	$-23	loss
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	89¢	92¢	$-2,065	loss
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	74¢	88¢	+$1,802	win
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?	No	92¢	100¢	+$9	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?	Down	77¢	0¢	$-2,696	loss

Sports 71% $-27,458 $5,331,079 vol · 208 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	11¢	12¢	+$174	win
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	5¢	5¢	$-10	loss
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	11¢	12¢	+$27	win
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	78¢	73¢	$-128	loss
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	58¢	57¢	$-138	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	83¢	81¢	$-90	loss
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$444	win
Thunder vs. Clippers	Thunder	76¢	100¢	+$3,359	win
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	27¢	0¢	+$759	win
Spurs vs. Nuggets	Spurs	77¢	0¢	$-26,540	loss

Crypto 80% $-141,047 $2,670,351 vol · 149 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	76¢	82¢	+$15	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	54¢	45¢	$-980	loss
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	Yes	60¢	38¢	+$153	win
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	87¢	87¢	+$6	win
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	89¢	92¢	+$37	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1PM ET	Down	87¢	100¢	+$315	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10AM ET	Down	73¢	0¢	$-7,453	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	87¢	0¢	$-14,158	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 15?	No	85¢	100¢	+$1,175	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11AM ET	Down	87¢	100¢	+$1,238	win

Other 72% $-168,536 $2,460,630 vol · 194 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	88¢	92¢	+$13	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	92¢	95¢	+$21	win
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	41¢	35¢	$-768	loss
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?	Yes	54¢	52¢	$-7	loss
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	67¢	94¢	+$49	win
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?	No	96¢	99¢	+$1	win
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	50¢	90¢	+$123	win
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	Yes	82¢	90¢	+$168	win
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	79¢	89¢	+$40	win
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	85¢	99¢	+$43	win

Esports 73% $-429,337 $8,749,903 vol · 448 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner	Spirit	78¢	100¢	+$4,048	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	90¢	100¢	+$1,366	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	G2	82¢	0¢	$-17,105	loss
Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Gentle Mates	77¢	0¢	$-14,477	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 - Map 1 Winner	Vitality	79¢	0¢	$-6,566	loss
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 - Map 2 Winner	G2	91¢	100¢	+$1,519	win
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winner	MOUZ	86¢	100¢	+$1,666	win
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	87¢	100¢	+$964	win
LoL: LNG Esports vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner	EDward Gaming	82¢	0¢	$-12,069	loss
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner	TheMongolz	67¢	0¢	$-7,001	loss