Win rate
63.7%
267 W / 152 L
Total PnL
$10,699
realized $-6,200 · unrealized $16,899
Portfolio
$16,899
volume $6,120,464
Predictions
417
2.0/day · avg $14,677
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 74% +$34,287
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | loss |
| Yoon out of custody before 2027? | No | 77¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | win |
| Yoon out of custody by March 31? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$1,546 | win |
| Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? | No | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-603 | loss |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 25¢ | 84¢ | +$107 | win |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison? | No | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
Elections 59% +$15,275
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | Yes | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$523 | win |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election? | No | 51¢ | 4¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Yang Seung-jo win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election? | No | 51¢ | 96¢ | +$49 | win |
| Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | Yes | 7¢ | 3¢ | +$134 | win |
| Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election? | No | 61¢ | 6¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | No | 17¢ | 11¢ | $-919 | loss |
| Will the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections? | No | 9¢ | 3¢ | $-816 | loss |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | No | 58¢ | 24¢ | $-4,224 | loss |
Sports 0% $-45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025? | No | 52¢ | 100¢ | $-45 | loss |
Tech 0% $-94
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 31? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | $-66 | loss |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
Mentions 0% $-314
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 13-20? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-314 | loss |
Crypto 40% $-10,554
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4400 in August? | No | 81¢ | 0¢ | $-726 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-1,576 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $115K on August 6? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-1,892 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$820 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | $-587 | loss |
| Will Solana reach $200 in July? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-3,305 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? | 100k | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-683 | loss |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,000 in December? | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-486 | loss |
Geopolitics 57% $-13,103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$401 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$366 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | No | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$301 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | No | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-424 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | No | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| Israel strikes Yemen by August 31? | Yes | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$48 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31? | No | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$162 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before August? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | loss |
Politics 70% $-14,119
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 83¢ | 60¢ | $-580 | loss |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025? | No | 23¢ | 0¢ | +$949 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$786 | win |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
| Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025? | No | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be named in newly released Epstein files? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-146 | loss |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025? | Yes | 65¢ | 100¢ | $-660 | loss |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea by November 30? | Yes | 14¢ | 100¢ | +$428 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 84.8¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $515 | 12/04/2026 |
| Yoon out of custody by March 31? | No | 80.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1,546 | $8,621 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Kim Keon Hee be sentenced to prison by March 31? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.6¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $536 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kang Sun-woo in jail by March 31? | No | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-603 | $660 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election? | Yes | 76.6¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $77 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? | Yes | 70.3¢ | 100¢ | +$200 | $842 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 84¢ | +$107 | $53 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Josée Massi be the next mayor of Toulon? | Yes | 66.9¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $67 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Jean-Luc Moudenc be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election? | Yes | 49.5¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | $40 | 22/03/2026 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the first round of the Republican Senate primary election in Texas? | Yes | 89.9¢ | 0¢ | $-579 | $579 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 250 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$130 | $953 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election? | Yes | 87.1¢ | 100¢ | +$108 | $731 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Japan Innovation Party win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | Yes | 75.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $90 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 150 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 90.5¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $181 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win 310 or more seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $88 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 160 and 189 seats? | Yes | 9.4¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 250 and 264 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 6.7¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $45 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 280 and 294 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 295 and 309 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election? | Yes | 8.6¢ | 0¢ | $-43 | $43 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Japan Innovation Party be part of the governing coalition as a result of the 2026 Japanese snap election? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | $96 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party win by between 130 and 159 seats? | Yes | 4.2¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | $119 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Japanese general election? | No | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-418 | $505 | 08/02/2026 |
| Han Duck-soo in jail by January 31? | Yes | 77.4¢ | 100¢ | +$164 | $561 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $1,043 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $105 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison? | No | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | $755 | 21/01/2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 10–15 years in prison? | No | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $21 | 21/01/2026 |
| Will Han Duck Soo be sentenced to 5–10 years in prison? | Yes | 21.6¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 21/01/2026 |
| Will António José Seguro qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 88.9¢ | 100¢ | +$125 | $1,019 | 18/01/2026 |
| Will André Ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 76.4¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | $192 | 18/01/2026 |
| Will a White Spoon win season 2 of Culinary Class Wars? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $910 | 13/01/2026 |
| Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025? | No | 58.8¢ | 100¢ | +$14,556 | $45,662 | 31/12/2025 |
| Choo Kyung-ho in jail by December 31? | No | 69.2¢ | 100¢ | +$11,094 | $25,772 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 64.5¢ | 100¢ | +$10,221 | $21,462 | 31/12/2025 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | No | 5.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1,936 | $2,540 | 31/12/2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025? | No | 22.5¢ | 0¢ | +$949 | $5,278 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? | No | 62.8¢ | 100¢ | +$786 | $1,648 | 31/12/2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$401 | $2,356 | 31/12/2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | Yes | 70.6¢ | 100¢ | +$366 | $881 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | No | 57.9¢ | 100¢ | +$301 | $1,158 | 31/12/2025 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$291 | $10,249 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | $3,041 | 31/12/2025 |
| Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025? | Yes | 28.0¢ | 100¢ | +$165 | $470 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will France recognize Palestine in 2025? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$129 | $3,927 | 31/12/2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | Yes | 10.0¢ | 0¢ | +$100 | $1,000 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will no leader be out in 2025? | No | 75.7¢ | 100¢ | +$89 | $1,765 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $810 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025? | Yes | 75.4¢ | 0¢ | +$45 | $252 | 31/12/2025 |
| Bayrou out as French PM by September 30? | Yes | 89.7¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $723 | 31/12/2025 |