molodoyy

Tech 79% +$4,189 $71,869 vol · 271 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	No	30¢	57¢	+$731	win
Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?	No	40¢	39¢	$-2	loss
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	85¢	86¢	+$1	win
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	61¢	70¢	+$34	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-38	loss
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	6¢	6¢	+$3	win
Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	4¢	5¢	+$5	win
Will Meta have the #2 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	4¢	6¢	+$9	win
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	46¢	32¢	$-76	loss
Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	10¢	12¢	+$7	win

Other 76% +$3,057 $39,756 vol · 190 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	39¢	15¢	+$3	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	72¢	84¢	+$54	win
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027?	No	66¢	84¢	+$17	win
US bank failure by December 31?	Yes	62¢	78¢	+$30	win
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	87¢	85¢	$-2	loss
Will Anthropic have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	1¢	0¢	$-60	loss
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?	No	84¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will either Tate brother be arrested by June 30?	No	67¢	58¢	$-4	loss
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	No	11¢	44¢	+$136	win

Crypto 71% +$65 $2,437 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Grok memecoin wallet hits $1M before April?	No	57¢	100¢	$-80	loss
Blast Open Rotterdam 2026: Will a player break something during a game?	No	22¢	100¢	+$144	win
Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$103	win
Will TurkXBT win the Defi App trading competition?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 November 24-30?	Yes	80¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?	No	93¢	0¢	$-147	loss
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-3	loss

Mentions 76% +$52 $5,211 vol · 51 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Zelenskyy post 160-179 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	99¢	95¢	$-2	loss
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	99¢	95¢	$-2	loss
Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	99¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026?	No	81¢	74¢	$-2	loss
Will CZ post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will CZ post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-24	loss

Culture 61% +$15 $1,942 vol · 23 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MrBeast say "Movie" or "Film" during his next video?	No	38¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "Will Smith" or "Punch" be said at the Oscars?	No	57¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	73¢	100¢	+$29	win
Will "Copshop" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? (February 10)	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-44	loss
Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$26	win
Will "Agatha Christie's Seven Dials" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)	No	70¢	100¢	+$23	win
Will "The Rip" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (January 27, 2026)	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will "His & Hers" be the top US Netflix show this week? (January 27, 2026)	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$10	win

Sports 50% $-53 $454 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "War" or "Conflict" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience for the week (April 5)?	Yes	60¢	0¢	$-54	loss
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Geopolitics 74% $-533 $23,538 vol · 71 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	43¢	0¢	$-166	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	68¢	84¢	$-202	loss
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?	No	70¢	89¢	+$6	win
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?	Yes	59¢	27¢	$-0	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	90¢	100¢	$-24	loss
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?	No	87¢	90¢	+$1	win
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	61¢	60¢	$-3	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will Russia enter Khatnie by February 28, 2026?	No	62¢	100¢	+$121	win
Will Russia enter Khatnie by March 31, 2026?	Yes	17¢	0¢	+$99	win

Politics 76% $-725 $8,810 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	80¢	92¢	+$81	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	63¢	84¢	+$10	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	97¢	96¢	$-1	loss
Trump out as President by April 30?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump disparage Pope Leo XIV by April 30?	No	77¢	68¢	$-3	loss
Will White House post 200+ posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	Yes	14¢	8¢	$-10	loss
Will White House post 120-139 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?	No	86¢	90¢	+$2	win
Will White House post 160-179 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win