Win rate
61.9%
13 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$247
realized $-447 · unrealized $694
Portfolio
$694
volume $19,341
Predictions
59
0.3/day · avg $328
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/12/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 57% +$200
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Louisville vs. Virginia Tech | Louisville | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Montoya stay with his girlfriend? | No | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | win |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Mentions 100% +$33
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21? | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | win |
Crypto 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Sports 75% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15¢ | 15¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 50% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Weather 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on March 22? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Elections 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? | No | 55¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
Politics 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (29)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 'Zootopia 2' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | No | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $175 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | No | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $23 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | No | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 23/06/2025 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $40 | 05/06/2025 |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $39 | 31/05/2025 |
| Will Barcelona win La Liga? | No | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $37 | 25/05/2025 |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | No | 28.5¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $22 | 25/05/2025 |
| Will LeBron James lead the NBA in scoring? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 13/04/2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $124 | 31/03/2025 |
| Will Facebook implement "community notes" before April? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $23 | 31/03/2025 |
| Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 28? | Yes | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $199 | 28/03/2025 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 65°F or higher on March 22? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $83 | 22/03/2025 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 22/03/2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 450-474 times March 14-21? | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $33 | 21/03/2025 |
| Ethereum above $1,900 on March 21? | Yes | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 21/03/2025 |
| Louisville vs. Virginia Tech | Louisville | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $176 | 05/03/2025 |
| Will Montoya stay with his girlfriend? | No | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | $173 | 24/02/2025 |
| Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025? | No | 83.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $23 | 09/02/2025 |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more? | No | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $174 | 08/12/2024 |
| Will another individual win the Romanian Presidential election? | No | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $175 | 08/12/2024 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $37 | 01/01/1970 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 96.7¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | $632 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | No | 98.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $133 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? | No | 98.8¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $450 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 87.9¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $694 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 3.7¢ | 4¢ | +$0 | $44 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 15¢ | +$0 | $197 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 97.5¢ | 98¢ | $-1 | $633 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 27.1¢ | 27¢ | $-1 | $347 | 07/11/2028 |