Win rate
70.5%
31 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-136
realized $-855 · unrealized $719
Portfolio
$719
volume $9,851
Predictions
125
10.7/day · avg $79
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 83% +$23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Fury | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Warriors | 96¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Politics 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 76¢ | 74¢ | +$1 | win |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
Other 64% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 70¢ | 68¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | 84¢ | 89¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 72¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 75¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | win |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 88¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger | Lilli Tagger | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Eala | Alexandra Eala | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Madrid: Maria Garcia Cid vs Alina Korneeva | Alina Korneeva | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Crypto 100% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | No | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | win |
Economy 67% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 94¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 60% $-91
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 48¢ | 70¢ | +$30 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 72¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 91¢ | 61¢ | $-2 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | loss |
Recent Trades (44)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | No | 78.9¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $61 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $53 | 15/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | No | 87.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 52.3¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $167 | 15/04/2026 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Chicago White Sox | Baltimore Orioles | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $144 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Paula Badosa vs Lilli Tagger | Lilli Tagger | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $110 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Julia Grabher vs Alexandra Eala | Alexandra Eala | 94.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $92 | 14/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Maria Garcia Cid vs Alina Korneeva | Alina Korneeva | 95.4¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $87 | 13/04/2026 |
| Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudov | Fury | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $46 | 12/04/2026 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans | Pelicans | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $47 | 08/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Warriors | 95.9¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $34 | 08/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $129 | 07/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Spurs | Spurs | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $186 | 07/04/2026 |
| Heat vs. Raptors | Raptors | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $154 | 07/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 53.5¢ | 87¢ | $-0 | $20 | 07/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | No | 51.6¢ | 13¢ | $-5 | $100 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 32.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $31 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | Yes | 54.3¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $29 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 76.0¢ | 74¢ | +$1 | $26 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.4¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $26 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April? | No | 87.2¢ | 80¢ | $-22 | $255 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | No | 88.7¢ | 94¢ | +$4 | $33 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by April 30? | No | 71.8¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 97.5¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $215 | 30/04/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $24 | 30/04/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 95.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $20 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $34 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | No | 97.9¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | $23 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 59.8¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $32 | 30/04/2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 75.3¢ | 72¢ | $-1 | $208 | 30/04/2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | No | 90.9¢ | 61¢ | $-2 | $143 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in April? | No | 97.9¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $28 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April? | No | 87.7¢ | 97¢ | +$2 | $24 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 94.0¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $26 | 17/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? | No | 73.0¢ | 82¢ | +$3 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | No | 72.2¢ | 76¢ | +$1 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? | No | 89.0¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | $25 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? | No | 84.0¢ | 89¢ | +$1 | $24 | 30/06/2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 85.7¢ | 92¢ | +$2 | $23 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 90.0¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | $105 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 98.3¢ | 96¢ | $-1 | $28 | 29/07/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 47.9¢ | 70¢ | +$30 | $52 | 31/12/2026 |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 70.0¢ | 68¢ | $-1 | $24 | 01/01/2028 |