0x59BA

Crypto 98% +$849 $771,617 vol · 484 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	91¢	98¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on March 7?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on March 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on March 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on March 5?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	No	99¢	100¢	+$25	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 4?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Economy 50% +$9 $347 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	95¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?	No	5¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	87¢	100¢	+$13	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 100% +$1 $379 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?	Yes	57¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?	No	73¢	0¢	+$0	win

Elections 0% $-1 $8,129 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	60¢	+$0	—
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	62¢	+$0	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	50¢	52¢	+$0	—
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	50¢	48¢	+$0	—
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	50¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	No	48¢	0¢	$-0	loss

Politics 80% $-335 $26,845 vol · 17 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	50¢	61¢	+$0	—
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	50¢	39¢	+$0	—
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	50¢	90¢	+$0	—
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	50¢	10¢	+$0	—
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	50¢	84¢	+$0	—
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	16¢	+$0	—
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	18¢	65¢	+$0	—
Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?	No	93¢	99¢	+$0	win
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?	Yes	29¢	0¢	+$4	win
Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?	No	67¢	100¢	+$1	win

Tech 20% $-453 $1,631 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?	No	24¢	0¢	$-240	loss

Finance 53% $-953 $19,012 vol · 40 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?	Up	46¢	0¢	$-12	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?	Down	84¢	100¢	+$18	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	Down	90¢	0¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 2?	Up	29¢	100¢	$-33	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?	Up	33¢	0¢	$-597	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?	Down	49¢	100¢	$-27	loss
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?	Up	57¢	0¢	+$1	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?	Down	41¢	100¢	+$0	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?	Down	68¢	100¢	+$22	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17?	Up	53¢	0¢	$-21	loss

Geopolitics 45% $-1,375 $13,516 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$35	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	3¢	0¢	+$2	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	27¢	100¢	$-19	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	73¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	75¢	100¢	$-25	loss
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	38¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-3	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	No	56¢	100¢	$-90	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-150	loss

Other 70% $-3,690 $358,900 vol · 61 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	56¢	0¢	$-1,982	loss
Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch?	No	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Lighter FDV above $6B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$28	win
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	86¢	83¢	$-0	loss
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	84¢	0¢	$-1,071	loss
Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	99¢	98¢	$-17	loss
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	84¢	82¢	+$2	win
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	50¢	56¢	+$0	—

Weather 99% $-3,700 $2,938,022 vol · 2840 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 28°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on April 18?	No	99¢	99¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on April 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on April 18?	No	95¢	69¢	$-26	loss

Mentions 91% $-5,116 $683,459 vol · 265 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Andrew Tate post 670-699 posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Andrew Tate post 640-669 posts from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win