SweetChariot

Other 94% +$11,825 $899,311 vol · 1289 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$1	win
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Owlto FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be at least 500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$2	win
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Blackpink release a song in 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?	No	56¢	46¢	$-167	loss
Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?	Yes	90¢	88¢	$-4	loss
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	56¢	2¢	$-39	loss
Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	Yes	81¢	85¢	+$1	win

Politics 91% +$1,723 $186,654 vol · 241 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Hillary Clinton Testify to Congress about Epstein?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on March 21?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Trump say "Major Non-NATO Ally" in February?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say “Sleazebag” by February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on February 28?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump say "Tariff" during the Black History Month reception?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX?	No	97¢	100¢	+$17	win

Culture 91% +$834 $296,682 vol · 371 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Project Hail Mary" make it into the IMDb Top 250?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will fewer than 10 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Harry Styles release an album in 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will Kendrick Lamar release a new song in 2026?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	No	76¢	94¢	+$4	win
Will Bad Bunny have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	82¢	74¢	+$1	win
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2026?	Yes	63¢	73¢	+$24	win
Will Olivia Rodrigo release a new original album by August 31?	Yes	76¢	98¢	+$140	win
Will Nettspend release an album by June 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$9	win

Geopolitics 77% +$300 $32,346 vol · 22 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11?	Yes	94¢	100¢	$-34	loss
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 4?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Iran close its airspace by February 28, 2026?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be at least 1.1m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be less than 3m?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$380	win
Will 'Arirang' - BTS debut week album sales be between 3m and 3.5m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?	Yes	82¢	100¢	+$1	win
Iran behind June 12 internet outages?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 98% +$260 $29,476 vol · 48 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Elizabeth Taylor - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of April 25?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get between 2 and 2.25 million views in the first week?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	89¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Jordan Spieth finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will 'Luck... or Something' - Hilary Duff debut week album sales be between 25k and 30k?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will 'Luck... or Something' - Hilary Duff debut week album sales be at least 40k?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Megadeth by Megadeth be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 8)	No	98¢	100¢	+$16	win
Will PayPal say "Stablecoin" or "Stable Coin" during earnings call?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Megadeth by Megadeth be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win

Finance 96% +$129 $19,876 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX IPO by April 30, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	—
NYSE trading floor opening delayed Monday?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Roblox say "Creator" during earnings call?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will EA say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during earnings call?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Eli Lilly say "Impact" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will PayPal say "Blue Owl" during earnings call?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2025?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the next James Bond be British?	No	88¢	100¢	+$28	win
Applied Intuition IPO in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 80% +$116 $2,468 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs paiN (BO3)	paiN	52¢	100¢	+$66	win
League of Legends: KT Rolster vs. T1	KT Rolster	25¢	0¢	$-22	loss
League of Legends: LGD Gaming vs. EDward Gaming	EDward Gaming	75¢	100¢	+$7	win
League of Legends: FunPlus Phoenix vs. Top Esports	Top	87¢	100¢	+$117	win
League of Legends: Gen.G vs. Hanwha Life Esports	Hanwha Life	27¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Sentinels win the 2025 VALORANT Masters Toronto Tournament?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Kai and Speed win Fortnite by noon Wedneday?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Kai and Speed take 25-49 attempts to beat Fortnite?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Kai and Speed take 200 or more attempts to beat Fortnite?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 83% +$15 $11,646 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Howard Bison vs. Coppin State Eagles	Howard Bison	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
ECB increases interest rates after March 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$5	win

Tech 96% $-115 $67,987 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?	No	79¢	64¢	$-31	loss
Will Amazon acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
GPT ads by March 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Jensen Huang say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "The Epstein Files" reach #1 on Apple Podcast by March 15?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "M5" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	Yes	90¢	0¢	+$1	win
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?	Yes	66¢	100¢	+$255	win
Will Amazon say "Margin" during earnings call?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Google say "Autonomous" during earnings call?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Weather 96% $-203 $237,964 vol · 368 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	95¢	99¢	+$1	win
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game Semi Finals)	Sydney Sixers	85¢	100¢	+$6	win
Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game Semi Finals) - Completed match?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will 1750 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
South Florida Bulls vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane	South Florida Bulls	100¢	100¢	+$2	win

Elections 81% $-280 $14,705 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	97¢	96¢	+$1	win
Will Rebecca Scriven win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	No	93¢	99¢	+$10	win
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	35¢	56¢	+$58	win
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Michelle Wu win the 2025 Boston mayoral election?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will CDP hold the second most seats in the House of Councillors following the 2025 Japan election?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$3	win
Which party wins the most primary votes in Australian election?	Labor Party	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?	No	98¢	100¢	+$-0	—
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?	Yes	10¢	0¢	$-364	loss
Will Nicușor Dan win the second most votes in the first round of the Romanian Presidential Election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Mentions 86% $-347 $4,551 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 5?	No	98¢	100¢	$-373	loss
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 2?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Zohran Mamdani tweet 40 or more times Tuesday?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 14-21?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win

Sports 89% $-4,249 $385,602 vol · 625 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?	No	88¢	88¢	+$1	win
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?	Yes	27¢	16¢	$-62	loss
Will Jerami Grant win the 2025–2026 NBA Sixth Man of the Year?	No	90¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Tyrese Maxey win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of the Year?	No	90¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?	No	88¢	46¢	$-34	loss
Will JB Bickerstaff win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year?	No	41¢	94¢	+$267	win
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?	No	25¢	18¢	$-30	loss
Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player?	No	42¢	97¢	+$186	win
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	No	77¢	1¢	$-45	loss
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	No	43¢	30¢	$-16	loss