loveppl

Geopolitics 64% +$341 $1,127 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	67¢	74¢	+$13	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	34¢	100¢	+$74	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	No	41¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	35¢	18¢	$-20	loss
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	71¢	72¢	$-1	loss
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	No	51¢	0¢	$-51	loss
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?	No	19¢	30¢	+$16	win
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?	No	77¢	100¢	+$13	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	No	57¢	100¢	+$295	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?	Yes	49¢	0¢	+$13	win

Weather 25% +$129 $351 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	No	34¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18?	No	64¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$8	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or below on April 17?	No	1¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 17?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 15?	No	11¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 14?	No	11¢	100¢	+$332	win
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 14?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-35	loss

Elections 100% +$10 $106 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	83¢	90¢	+$10	win

Sports 0% $-1 $24 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	58¢	56¢	$-1	loss

Crypto 0% $-84 $111 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin above 75,200 on April 17, 7AM ET?	No	38¢	0¢	$-83	loss
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?	No	41¢	39¢	$-1	loss

Politics 78% $-170 $619 vol · 9 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	78¢	91¢	+$8	win
Will Trump name "Warsh" in April?	Yes	88¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump say "Two week" or "two-week" this week? (April 19)	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Trump say "DoorDash" or "McDonald's" during No Tax on Tips Roundtable?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Trump say "Inflation" during Fox interview on Wednesday?	Yes	77¢	0¢	$-263	loss

Other 31% $-466 $1,065 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	71¢	66¢	$-4	loss
Cuban regime falls in 2026?	No	64¢	68¢	+$2	win
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	77¢	76¢	$-0	loss
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	65¢	64¢	$-4	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	42¢	70¢	+$32	win
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	15¢	0¢	$-22	loss
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	No	18¢	24¢	+$8	win
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-42	loss
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	47¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs RED Canids (+1.5)	Spirit	66¢	0¢	$-108	loss

Esports 29% $-467 $834 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Vitality	74¢	100¢	+$35	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Team Falcons	60¢	58¢	$-1	loss
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport - Map 4 Winner	Metizport	63¢	100¢	+$16	win
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega	EDward Gaming	53¢	0¢	$-186	loss
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner	HOTU	39¢	100¢	+$44	win
Counter-Strike: Voca vs Marsborne (BO3) - CCT North America Series #4 Playoffs	Voca	74¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Counter-Strike: G2 vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner	3DMAX	31¢	0¢	$-52	loss
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B	Natus Vincere	73¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner	Passion UA	73¢	0¢	$-66	loss
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omega	BBL Esports	64¢	0¢	$-99	loss