Win rate
40.0%
4 W / 6 L
Total PnL
$-25
realized $-726 · unrealized $701
Portfolio
$701
volume $36,821
Predictions
29
0.5/day · avg $1,270
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 11/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 5¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Crypto 50% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in July? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Politics 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $-0 | loss |
Geopolitics 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | — |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 33% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 99¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 50% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 93¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 24¢ | 23¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Recent Trades (24)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $150 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the first leader out in 2025? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $98 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $110 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $103 | 07/12/2025 |
| Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $107 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship? | No | 92.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $113 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $21 | 31/10/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in July? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 01/08/2025 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in July? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $133 | 01/08/2025 |
| Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $112 | 30/06/2025 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 97.0¢ | 95¢ | $-0 | $364 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 96.4¢ | 88¢ | +$0 | $643 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 23.7¢ | 23¢ | $-41 | $640 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 6.6¢ | 5¢ | +$2 | $168 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 85.3¢ | 85¢ | +$0 | $701 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 92.6¢ | 95¢ | +$1 | $643 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 6.2¢ | 5¢ | +$0 | $37 | 30/09/2026 |
| Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 98.7¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $637 | 31/10/2026 |
| Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? | No | 98.9¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $741 | 30/11/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 91.5¢ | 91¢ | +$0 | $673 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 3.8¢ | 4¢ | $-0 | $100 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 96.1¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $643 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 98.4¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | $642 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.2¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $706 | 07/11/2028 |