TheMasterMind

Other 75% +$4,450 $97,613 vol · 563 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?	Yes	51¢	60¢	+$18	win
Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	95¢	96¢	+$12	win
Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	Yes	5¢	4¢	$-34	loss
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?	No	88¢	92¢	+$16	win
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	83¢	82¢	$-2	loss
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	No	95¢	96¢	+$2	win
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	14¢	12¢	$-5	loss
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto	Nothing	90¢	91¢	+$1	win

Sports 69% +$627 $11,610 vol · 104 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	No	77¢	72¢	$-13	loss
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	0¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	35¢	47¢	+$37	win
Will Roger Federer play at Wimbledon?	No	95¢	97¢	+$3	win
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	15¢	15¢	+$0	win
OKC breaks NBA single-season wins record?	No	65¢	100¢	+$79	win
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder make the NBA Playoffs?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will there be a perfect NCAA bracket?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-32	loss
NCAA Tournament: 1 seed knocked out before round of 16?	Yes	30¢	100¢	+$128	win

Geopolitics 71% +$491 $13,012 vol · 89 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	51¢	100¢	+$122	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-22	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	49¢	76¢	+$106	win
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	85¢	90¢	+$22	win
NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	94¢	94¢	+$1	win
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$200	win
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$72	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	25¢	10¢	$-58	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	70¢	94¢	+$94	win

Elections 72% +$301 $3,229 vol · 25 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$127	win
Right-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?	No	90¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 15)	No	96¢	100¢	+$12	win
Will Trump say "Midterm Election" during Iowa speech?	No	73¢	100¢	+$81	win
Will an election be called instead of appointing a Prime Minister?	No	85¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	No	95¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	33¢	0¢	$-25	loss
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$10	win

Tech 80% +$70 $2,034 vol · 20 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "iPad" be said during the NYC Apple event on March 4?	No	95¢	100¢	+$10	win
Any Tesla arsonist found guilty in 2025?	No	15¢	0¢	+$10	win
OpenAI browser by October 31?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Meta say "Algorithm" during earnings call?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the FED board meeting on October 24?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Recession" during earnings call?	No	80¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Tesla (TSLA) say "Optimus" during earnings call?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 10?	No	45¢	0¢	$-90	loss
Will Tesla deliver 350000-375000 vehicles in Q2?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Finance 100% +$67 $1,067 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	80¢	80¢	+$0	win
Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	86¢	98¢	+$23	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 9?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on March 31?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Oracle say "Sovereign" during earnings call?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Robinhood say "Prediction Market" during earnings call?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Hims say "Testosterone" during earnings call?	Yes	85¢	100¢	+$8	win
Will Reddit say "Traffic" during earnings call?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will anyone say "Landlord" during the Q2 2025 AMC earnings call?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will anyone say "Netflix" 30+ times during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?	No	65¢	100¢	+$12	win

Economy 64% +$56 $1,081 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.0%?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the June 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	48¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Jerome Powell say "Recession" during the March meeting?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$35	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	20¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Unemployment rate over 4.1% in October?	No	50¢	100¢	+$60	win
Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?	No	40¢	100¢	+$91	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	54¢	0¢	$-51	loss

Mentions 50% +$34 $726 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	Yes	20¢	100¢	+$100	win
Will Khamenei post 40-59 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Khamenei tweet again by March 1?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?	No	70¢	0¢	$-70	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?	Yes	30¢	0¢	$-31	loss
Will Elon tweet 255–269 times August 22–August 29?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win

Culture 60% +$3 $587 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will "Tron: Ares" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Demon Slayer" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $65m and $70m?	No	95¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will "The Roses" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $6m?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $116-124m?	No	65¢	100¢	+$35	win

Weather 90% $-41 $1,318 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 14?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 5?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?	No	98¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?	No	92¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Melissa become a category 5 hurricane?	No	80¢	0¢	$-80	loss
Will global temperature increase by between 1.00ºC and 1.04ºC in September 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?	Yes	51¢	0¢	+$12	win

Politics 72% $-411 $46,454 vol · 389 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?	Yes	45¢	64¢	+$62	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	23¢	100¢	+$144	win
Will Donald Trump visit New Jersey in 2026?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$1	win
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by December 31, 2026?	Yes	15¢	18¢	+$7	win
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	Yes	21¢	12¢	$-19	loss
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?	No	95¢	79¢	$-16	loss
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	11¢	60¢	+$8	win
Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	No	70¢	0¢	$-210	loss
Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Trump say "Gulf of Trump" in April?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 59% $-660 $5,039 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	ETH	51¢	0¢	$-71	loss
Will Bill Clinton say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Epstein testimony?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	98¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$60	win
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 30-January 5?	No	85¢	0¢	$-85	loss
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Ethereum all time high by October 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$3	win