Win rate
78.9%
288 W / 77 L
Total PnL
$8,118
realized $4,288 · unrealized $3,830
Portfolio
$3,830
volume $218,046
Predictions
445
1.8/day · avg $490
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Finance 83% +$3,567
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 75¢ | 81¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be less than $1.7B at market close on IPO day? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | win |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be greater than $2.1B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$280 | win |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | win |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.0B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 78% +$2,359
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bank of America fail by June 30, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 97¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Justin Bieber feature Bad Bunny during his Coachella performances? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Love Yourself" first at Coachella? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Polymarket" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | win |
| Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will "Seminar" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Adelaide International: Tomas Machac vs Tommy Paul | Paul | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Adelaide International: Aleksandar Vukic vs Andrea Vavassori | Vavassori | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-36 | loss |
| Adelaide International: Victoria Mboko vs Anna Kalinskaya | Mboko | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
Sports 66% +$1,428
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$270 | win |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Seahawks | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$695 | win |
| Texans vs. Steelers | Texans | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$390 | win |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Patriots | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$124 | win |
| Chargers vs. Patriots | Chargers | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-73 | loss |
| 49ers vs. Eagles | 49ers | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$198 | win |
| Bills vs. Jaguars | Bills | 60¢ | 100¢ | +$183 | win |
| Packers vs. Bears | Bears | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| 49ers vs. Eagles | Eagles | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-77 | loss |
| Packers vs. Bears | Packers | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
Esports 100% +$222
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will EA say "Apex Legends" during earnings call? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$222 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$132
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$80 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 80¢ | 95¢ | +$52 | win |
Culture 100% +$88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
Politics 100% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair? | No | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Tech 91% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reddit say "OpenAI" during earnings call? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Amazon say "FTC" during earnings call? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 2? | Down | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close at <$250 on the final day of trading of the week of Dec 22 – Dec 26? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on December 16? | Down | 71¢ | 0¢ | $-305 | loss |
| Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on December 15? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 15? | Down | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of December 8? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of December 8 above $230? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 20% $-81
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big Bash League: Sydney Sixers vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1) | Sydney Sixers | 49¢ | 50¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Big Bash League: Sydney Thunder vs Hobart Hurricanes (Game 1) | Hobart Hurricanes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$106 | win |
| Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Perth Scorchers (Game 1) | Hobart Hurricanes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-63 | loss |
| Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1) | Melbourne Renegades | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | loss |
| Big Bash League: Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Renegades (Game 1) | Hobart Hurricanes | 88¢ | 100¢ | $-59 | loss |
Economy 50% $-101
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State | Wake Forest | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Wake Forest vs. Mississippi State | Mississippi State | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-135 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Justin Bieber feature SZA during his Coachella performances? | No | 78.7¢ | 44¢ | $-150 | $341 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber feature Bad Bunny during his Coachella performances? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 19/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Peaches" first at Coachella? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $2,310 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Baby" first at Coachella? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $1,855 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "What Do You Mean?" first at Coachella? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $2,092 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Let Me Love You" first at Coachella? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $476 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Ghost" first at Coachella? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,904 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Where Are Ü Now" first at Coachella? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $521 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Sorry" first at Coachella? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $396 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Cold Water" first at Coachella? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $2,619 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Beauty and a Beat" first at Coachella? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,071 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Boyfriend" first at Coachella? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $99 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Justin Bieber play "Love Yourself" first at Coachella? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $70 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Truist Financial (TFC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 57.5¢ | 100¢ | +$103 | $139 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be less than $1.7B at market close on IPO day? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be greater than $2.1B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 82.2¢ | 100¢ | +$280 | $1,338 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be greater than $1.3B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 78.5¢ | 100¢ | +$76 | $280 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $0.9B and $1.0B at market close on IPO day? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $247 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.9B and $2.0B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $234 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $2.0B and $2.1B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99.8¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $215 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Kailera Therapeutics’s market cap be between $1.8B and $1.9B at market close on IPO day? | No | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $187 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Alamar Biosciences’s market cap be between $1.0B and $1.1B at market close on IPO day? | No | 76.4¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $33 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 88.6¢ | 100¢ | +$270 | $2,109 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $318 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $446 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $13.0B and $13.5B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.0B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $135 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Morgan Stanley (MS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,976 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Carmax (KMX) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $1,927 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will "Polymarket" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 67.8¢ | 100¢ | +$82 | $174 | 10/04/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 7? | Down | 53.9¢ | 100¢ | $-42 | $230 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will "Anthropic" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | Yes | 69.5¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $70 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will "Seminar" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $137 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $130 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will MSC Industrial Direct (MSM) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $807 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 78.3¢ | 100¢ | +$251 | $904 | 24/03/2026 |
| Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 86.7¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $720 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 90.8¢ | 100¢ | +$904 | $8,945 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $157 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 89.5¢ | 0¢ | $-372 | $379 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will Rumble (RUM) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 50.1¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will StubHub (STUB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 59.5¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $60 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04? | Yes | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will GitLab (GTLB) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $41 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 63.7¢ | 100¢ | +$534 | $939 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will IONQ (IONQ) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 73.5¢ | 100¢ | +$552 | $1,530 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will Beyond Meat (BYND) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 61.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1,526 | $1,526 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 79.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1,145 | $4,398 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) beat quarterly earnings? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$402 | $1,344 | 19/02/2026 |
| Will Clear Street Group Inc. not IPO before April 2026? | Yes | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $34 | 13/02/2026 |