Bitcoin150K

Other 64% +$532 $11,479 vol · 29 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	81¢	92¢	+$14	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	47¢	64¢	$-1	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	52¢	36¢	$-219	loss
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in April?	Yes	33¢	89¢	+$2	win
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	Yes	21¢	20¢	$-2	loss
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in April?	No	29¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	No	77¢	92¢	+$366	win
Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?	No	30¢	45¢	+$43	win
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	29¢	8¢	+$0	—
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	74¢	20¢	$-14	loss

Sports 100% +$33 $170 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	78¢	96¢	+$33	win

Elections 50% +$24 $344 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	77¢	78¢	+$1	win
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	29¢	24¢	$-6	loss
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?	Yes	79¢	100¢	$-25	loss
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	+$53	win

Weather 33% +$20 $175 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?	Yes	14¢	0¢	$-49	loss

Culture 100% +$3 $75 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$3	win

Tech 0% $-30 $38 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	76¢	22¢	$-30	loss

Geopolitics 50% $-163 $15,154 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	30¢	0¢	+$14	win
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$6	win
Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	67¢	33¢	$-6	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	3¢	0¢	$-18	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?	No	58¢	0¢	+$162	win
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?	Yes	84¢	92¢	+$16	win
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	74¢	95¢	+$617	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	67¢	0¢	$-17	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	74¢	82¢	$-283	loss
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	66¢	68¢	+$5	win

Politics 43% $-601 $3,893 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	No	72¢	58¢	$-305	loss
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?	No	49¢	0¢	$-328	loss
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	54¢	36¢	$-46	loss
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?	Yes	27¢	20¢	+$124	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?	No	77¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	78¢	88¢	+$159	win
Will Trump say "Nuclear" 4+ times during executive order signing today?	No	54¢	0¢	$-215	loss

Crypto 59% $-16,190 $211,742 vol · 699 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	33¢	26¢	$-10	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	27¢	42¢	+$122	win
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?	No	50¢	60¢	+$16	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	90¢	99¢	+$18	win
Will Solana dip to $60 in April?	No	85¢	98¢	+$6	win
Will XRP reach $1.40 in April?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$48	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	Yes	54¢	100¢	$-10	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	85¢	100¢	+$70	win
Solana Up or Down - April 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	88¢	100¢	+$19	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	66¢	100¢	+$215	win