Win rate
33.3%
4 W / 8 L
Total PnL
$2,033
realized $-9,313 · unrealized $11,346
Portfolio
$11,346
volume $144,589
Predictions
13
1.1/day · avg $11,122
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/04/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$1,097
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 30¢ | 30¢ | +$52 | win |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 6¢ | +$1,132 | win |
Politics 20% +$822
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $-443 | loss |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-815 | loss |
Other 33% +$113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 9¢ | +$400 | win |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-237 | loss |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (12)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 1.2¢ | 0¢ | $-320 | $322 | 18/04/2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15? | Yes | 5.4¢ | 0¢ | $-237 | $241 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 22.1¢ | 0¢ | $-443 | $443 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Yes | 7.2¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | Yes | 7.5¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | $75 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Trump attend UFC 327? | No | 6.6¢ | 0¢ | $-815 | $815 | 11/04/2026 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | Yes | 6.5¢ | 22¢ | +$2,472 | $1,074 | 21/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | Yes | 1.1¢ | 1¢ | $-50 | $1,220 | 30/04/2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Yes | 3.3¢ | 6¢ | +$1,132 | $1,529 | 30/04/2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30? | Yes | 5.0¢ | 9¢ | +$400 | $499 | 30/04/2026 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? | No | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $188 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 30.0¢ | 30¢ | +$52 | $2,997 | 31/12/2026 |