Win rate
93.5%
216 W / 15 L
Total PnL
$128
realized $-1,313 · unrealized $1,440
Portfolio
$1,440
volume $177,385
Predictions
235
0.7/day · avg $755
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 27/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 94% +$270
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 98¢ | 96¢ | $-10 | loss |
| GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 13 above $205? | Yes | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $720? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $440? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 9 above $245? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Other 85% +$198
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $56 in April? | No | 81¢ | 92¢ | +$22 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Yes | 94¢ | 94¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 75¢ | 22¢ | $-110 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will the Monad public sale commitments be less than $400M? | No | 87¢ | 0¢ | $-67 | loss |
| US strike on Syria by December 31? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | win |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
Crypto 100% +$196
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in March? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will XRP reach $2.10 March 9-15? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 12? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 11? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 10? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will XRP reach $1.55 on March 9? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Solana reach $105 on March 9? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 March 2-8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 4? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
Politics 100% +$104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
Geopolitics 100% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$27 | win |
| Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 29? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 5? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Mentions 87% +$12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | loss |
Economy 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Elections 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Democrats win five elections in Nov? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 60% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or higher on November 5? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 80% $-61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hornets vs. Thunder | Hornets | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Jazz vs. Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Warriors | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 70% $-655
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-765 | loss |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | T1 | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) | Top Esports | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 29¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 17, 2026? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $293 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 13 above $220? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 99¢ | $-4 | $464 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of April 13 above $205? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $81 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 91.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $182 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $481 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in March? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $800 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 0¢ | +$42 | $546 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $1,378 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $607 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on March 31? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $888 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 end of March? | No | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $58 | 31/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner | BNK FEARX | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-345 | $345 | 20/03/2026 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A | BNK FEARX | 76.5¢ | 0¢ | $-765 | $765 | 20/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $450 | 19/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A | Bilibili Gaming | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$188 | $810 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $340 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$75 | $207 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner | Bilibili Gaming | 68.9¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $200 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $180 | 18/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B | Gen.G | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $800 | 17/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner | Gen.G | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $300 | 17/03/2026 |
| LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | Gen.G | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $282 | 17/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $2.10 March 9-15? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $62 | 16/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 12? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $258 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 11? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 12/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 10? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $68 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $200 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $207 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.60 on March 9? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $187 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $1.55 on March 9? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $71 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $105 on March 9? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $2.10 March 2-8? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $1,996 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $2.00 March 2-8? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $900 | 09/03/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $998 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $720? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $144 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 2 above $440? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $104 | 06/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on March 5? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $901 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 4? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,986 | 04/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on March 3? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $987 | 03/03/2026 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in February? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,952 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on March 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,905 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $1,954 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,800 February 9-15? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $3,901 | 16/02/2026 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of February 9 above $245? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $296 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$355 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 9 – Feb 13? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $3,000 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $365? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $268 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $145? | Yes | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $134 | 13/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $1,863 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $997 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 9? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $2,345 | 09/02/2026 |