Win rate
65.9%
60 W / 31 L
Total PnL
$-585
realized $-1,257 · unrealized $673
Portfolio
$673
volume $46,462
Predictions
723
6.8/day · avg $64
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$42
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | 17¢ | 36¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Mexico City: Dan Martin vs Aidan Mayo | Aidan Mayo | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Australian Open Men's: Jakub Mensik vs Pablo Carreno Busta | Mensik | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
Elections 80% +$37
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Crypto 83% +$16
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 April 13-19? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2AM ET | Up | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Up | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Down | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Weather 100% +$9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on April 20? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 18? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Politics 50% +$8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 37¢ | 48¢ | +$6 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | Yes | 86¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
Esports 75% $-12
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | RED Canids | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | Team Heretics | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Geopolitics 43% $-103
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026? | Yes | 75¢ | 74¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 80¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 52¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Ducks | 40¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Sports 50% $-410
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | 76ers | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | loss |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5) | Pacers | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Kraken vs. Canucks | Kraken | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | win |
| Predators vs. Canucks | Predators | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Ducks vs. Maple Leafs | Ducks | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on April 18? | No | 95.5¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | $21 | 18/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2AM ET | Up | 83.3¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 17? | Yes | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $31 | 17/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $30 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | No | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026? | Yes | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Up | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: Leviatan Esports vs RED Canids (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | RED Canids | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $31 | 14/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET | Down | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 81.7¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $30 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12? | No | 89.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 April 6-12? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $36 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 13? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $26 | 13/04/2026 |
| Mexico City: Dan Martin vs Aidan Mayo | Aidan Mayo | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $29 | 13/04/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Spurs | Spurs | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 72.4¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $20 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12? | Yes | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $32 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET | Down | 77.4¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $48 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. New York City FC end in a draw? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $43 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 11? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 11/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs | FUT Esports | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 86.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $43 | 10/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner | FUT Esports | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $26 | 10/04/2026 |
| 76ers vs. Pacers | 76ers | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 10? | No | 96.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $31 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 10? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 10/04/2026 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals | Washington Nationals | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 10/04/2026 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers | Clippers | 85.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $20 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | No | 88.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $22 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's latest video get between 63 and 64 million views on day 4? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 08/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Up | 79.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $106 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 81.2¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $71 | 07/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Up | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $30 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-04-07? | Yes | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $20 | 07/04/2026 |
| Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5) | Pacers | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Down | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | $22 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Up | 47.9¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 07/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET | Up | 66.0¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | $34 | 07/04/2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | No | 79.5¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $46 | 07/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner | Team Heretics | 27.7¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 03/04/2026 |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | Lakers | 23.3¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 03/04/2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 61.3¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | Yes | 86.5¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | $21 | 31/03/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Canucks | Kraken | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $50 | 15/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Senators | Ducks | 40.0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 14/03/2026 |
| Predators vs. Canucks | Predators | 59.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 13/03/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Maple Leafs | Ducks | 48.9¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 12/03/2026 |
| Bruins vs. Flyers | Bruins | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 28/02/2026 |