Win rate
81.5%
4345 W / 983 L
Total PnL
$-5,861
realized $-7,856 · unrealized $1,995
Portfolio
$1,995
volume $803,421
Predictions
7,329
102.7/day · avg $110
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 05/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Finance 100% +$102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reddit (RDDT) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc (PLTR) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 28? | Up | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 21? | Up | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Culture 100% +$31
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Love is Blind: Season 10" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
Elections 50% +$25
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$95 | win |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-70 | loss |
Esports 99% $-9
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | ALKA | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner | CCG Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Overwatch: Poker Face vs ONSIDE Gaming - Game 1 Winner | ONSIDE Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Omega Esports vs ONIC PH - Game 1 Winner | ONIC PH | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Overwatch: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Game 1 Winner | ZETA DIVISION | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner | GenOne | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Counter-Strike: HAVENs vs Nebula In Chaox - Map 1 Winner | Nebula In Chaox | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Twisted Minds (BO3) - Europe MENA League Kickoff Playoffs | G2 Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| LoL: WLGaming Esports vs Team Insidious - Game 2 Winner | WLGaming Esports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 98% $-28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Baltimore Orioles | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Athletics vs. New York Mets | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Economy 0% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | loss |
Other 97% $-45
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | No | 77¢ | 84¢ | +$6 | win |
| Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5 | Under | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Spread: Southampton FC (-2.5) | Southampton FC | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Southampton FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Both Teams to Score | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club vs. Al Shabab Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fernandez vs. Sonmez: Match O/U 21.5 | Over | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs. Veronika Podrez: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| BMW Open: Alex Molcan vs Alexander Bublik | Alex Molcan | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Pedro Martinez vs. Lorenzo Sonego: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 25% $-65
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 71¢ | 86¢ | $-41 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 84¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
Weather 98% $-102
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on April 18? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 18? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 38% $-266
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in January 2026? | Yes | 26¢ | 100¢ | +$135 | win |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 92¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2025? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | $-17 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Yes | 31¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by July 31? | Yes | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by July 15? | Yes | 71¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
Mentions 0% $-300
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei tweet again by March 14? | No | 85¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | loss |
Geopolitics 59% $-427
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 31¢ | 18¢ | +$59 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Yes | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by January 31? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner | Nuclear TigeRES | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by January 31, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by February 28? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | win |
| Will Israel strike Gaza on February 2, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Crypto 79% $-2,100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $120 in April? | Yes | 99¢ | 48¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? | No | 94¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Cameron Norrie vs. Ethan Quinn: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 75,600 on April 17, 2AM ET? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 16, 8PM ET? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above 75,600 on April 17, 2AM ET? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Dplus vs Help Us LFO - Game 1 Winner | Dplus | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $350 | 17/04/2026 |
| Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $250 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 17/04/2026 |
| Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,000 on April 16, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $101 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 73,400 on April 16, 8PM ET? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: R2 Esports Club vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner | ALKA | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $90 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 31.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Joao Fonseca vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season | Team Orange Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 2 Winner | CCG Esports | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: CCG Esports vs Blue Otter - Game 1 Winner | CCG Esports | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 11PM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Vekic vs. Pliskova: Match O/U 21.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Overwatch: Poker Face vs ONSIDE Gaming - Game 1 Winner | ONSIDE Gaming | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin above 75,400 on April 17, 5AM ET? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $48 | 17/04/2026 |
| Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 23.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 21.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $46 | 17/04/2026 |
| Andreeva vs. Cirstea: Match O/U 22.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $40 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner | G2 Esports | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 17/04/2026 |
| Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Fonseca vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? | Even | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - April 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | Down | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Omega Esports vs ONIC PH - Game 1 Winner | ONIC PH | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Flash vs Bigetron MY by VIT - Game 1 Winner | Bigetron MY by VIT | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1? | Under | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Overwatch: T1 vs ZETA DIVISION - Game 1 Winner | ZETA DIVISION | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? | Even | 99.9¢ | 99¢ | $-0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 17? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |