Win rate
89.7%
61 W / 7 L
Total PnL
$230
realized $-695 · unrealized $926
Portfolio
$926
volume $36,340
Predictions
71
1.2/day · avg $512
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 28/10/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 96% +$122
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 78¢ | 64¢ | +$1 | win |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | No | 97¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | win |
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 85% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Zama FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Infinex FDV above $800M one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Space FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| Aztec FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | No | 99¢ | 97¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
Geopolitics 86% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 72¢ | 94¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31? | No | 98¢ | 97¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | +$35 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Politics 50% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? | Yes | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $93 | 01/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $82 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $156 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 01/04/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $239 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $209 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $130 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $239 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $464 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $129 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in February? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $108 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $104 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | No | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $86 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $238 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in January? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $158 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $87 | 01/02/2026 |
| Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $58 | 01/02/2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $400 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)? | Yes | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $139 | 31/01/2026 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$105 | $704 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.2B committed to the Monad public sale? | No | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $250 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $182 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $284 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over $1.4B committed to the Monad public sale? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $204 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B by December 31? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $78 | 01/01/2026 |
| Over 55,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $159 | 01/01/2026 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $180 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $894 | 31/12/2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $3,310 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $838 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,070 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,257 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $446 | 31/12/2025 |
| USDT depeg in 2025? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $320 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $240 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $173 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $77 | 31/12/2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $422 | 10/12/2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in November? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $295 | 01/12/2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $88 | 01/11/2025 |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $305 | 01/01/1970 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $561 | 01/01/1970 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? | No | 97.0¢ | 97¢ | +$1 | $173 | 01/01/1970 |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $201 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 99¢ | +$1 | $123 | 29/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 92.0¢ | 99¢ | +$35 | $644 | 30/04/2026 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.6¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $53 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April? | No | 95.7¢ | 89¢ | $-15 | $201 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April? | No | 96.9¢ | 99¢ | +$3 | $116 | 01/05/2026 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | $105 | 30/05/2026 |