Win rate
74.5%
38 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$-1,357
realized $-2,240 · unrealized $882
Portfolio
$882
volume $36,550
Predictions
169
0.8/day · avg $216
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 20/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 100% +$39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$28 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 76¢ | 99¢ | +$12 | win |
Crypto 80% $-386
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 61¢ | 90¢ | +$19 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Down | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Up | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Up | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Down | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Up | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 44% $-1,204
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | No | 80¢ | 88¢ | +$3 | win |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | No | 85¢ | 50¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-1,087 | loss |
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | $-340 | loss |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 72¢ | 92¢ | $-13 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 91.7¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | $40 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 82.9¢ | 100¢ | $-340 | $4,489 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | Yes | 40.5¢ | 0¢ | $-1,087 | $1,592 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 70.2¢ | 99¢ | +$28 | $72 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 76.2¢ | 99¢ | +$12 | $73 | 12/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 08/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Yes | 72.5¢ | 92¢ | $-13 | $98 | 07/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 16/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Up | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 16/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Down | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 16/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Up | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $50 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET | Up | 46.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $31 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $64 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $62 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $86 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Up | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $47 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | Down | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $55 | 15/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Down | 95.2¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $103 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on March 9? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $103 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET | Up | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $80 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | Down | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | Up | 94.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $53 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET | Down | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Up | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $30 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | Up | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $100 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | Down | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET | Down | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-110 | $55 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Up | 82.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 10/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | Up | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $51 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | Up | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | Down | 87.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $21 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | Up | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $47 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $44 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | Up | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $33 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | Up | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $21 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET | Up | 71.7¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET | Down | 87.4¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 08/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Up | 85.9¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $44 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | Up | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $142 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | Down | 93.8¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $62 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | Up | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $32 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Up | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $22 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | Down | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET | Up | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $26 | 05/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET | Up | 60.7¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | $64 | 05/03/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$246 | $608 | 30/04/2026 |
| JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Yes | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $40 | 30/04/2026 |