Elinka

Other 68% +$1,029 $266,192 vol · 307 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	70¢	66¢	$-10	loss
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs San-Hui Shin	Sergey Fomin	91¢	100¢	+$3	win
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeons	Fujian Sturgeons	65¢	100¢	+$13	win
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	68¢	100¢	$-4	loss
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings	Mumbai Indians	55¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Tallahassee: Cannon Kingsley vs Michael Mmoh	Michael Mmoh	55¢	100¢	+$13	win
BMW Open: Alexander Blockx vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	86¢	100¢	+$7	win
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Lilli Tagger	Oleksandra Oliynykova	77¢	100¢	$-3	loss
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Ninjas in Pyjamas	47¢	72¢	+$13	win
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	63¢	28¢	$-17	loss

Politics 66% +$486 $63,797 vol · 105 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Joni Ernst be Trump's Defense Secretary?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Tom Emmer be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?	No	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's Attorney General?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Matt Gaetz be Trump's Attorney General?	Yes	38¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Joni Ernst be the next Senate Majority Leader?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?	Yes	96¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?	No	80¢	100¢	+$0	—

Mentions 78% +$86 $33,829 vol · 65 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?	No	5¢	0¢	$-67	loss
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 14-21?	No	82¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet 800 or more times Jan 10-17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	—
Will Elon tweet 500 or more times Jan 3-Jan 10?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Jan 3-Jan 10?	No	98¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will Elon tweet 650-674 times Jan 3-Jan 10?	No	73¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3?	Yes	39¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3?	No	99¢	100¢	$-9	loss
Will "McDonald's" be in the manifesto?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 20-27?	No	97¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Geopolitics 76% +$22 $34,328 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ashley Moody be appointed as the next Florida senator?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Casey DeSantis be appointed as the next Florida senator?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2025 Stanley Cup?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	No	60¢	0¢	+$48	win
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$2	win
Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?	No	52¢	0¢	+$1	win
Will Ukraine join NATO in 2024?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 80% +$17 $11,411 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$2	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?	No	47¢	0¢	+$0	—
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?	No	40¢	0¢	+$0	—
26-50 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?	No	98¢	100¢	$-0	loss
1-25 bps decrease in ECB interest rates after 2024 December meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$0	—

Crypto 66% +$11 $64,205 vol · 104 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31?	Yes	36¢	100¢	$-26	loss
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31?	No	78¢	0¢	$-3	loss
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch?	No	96¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31?	Yes	49¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	43¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Solana hit $225 by January 31, 2025?	Yes	33¢	100¢	$-33	loss
Will Solana dip to $120 by January 31, 2025?	No	97¢	100¢	$-3	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?	100k	96¢	100¢	+$4	win

Tech 88% +$10 $2,062 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-2	loss
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
MetaMask airdrop in 2024?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will ChatGPT have the top AI model on December 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will 'Metaphor: ReFantazio' win Game of the Year?	No	94¢	100¢	+$10	win

Culture 80% +$3 $4,005 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?	No	93¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Playboi Carti release new album in 2024?	Yes	40¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will another movie gross most in 2024?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?	Sonic	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 67% $-0 $17,390 vol · 52 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?	No	98¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will Waldemar Witkowski be the next President of Poland?	No	99¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	58¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will CDU/CSU win the second most seats in the next German election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the CDU/CSU win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?	No	92¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	No	91¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Alexander Khabnyak win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?	No	99¢	100¢	+$-0	loss
Will Alexander Lukashenko win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?	Yes	97¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Election certified on January 6?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Finance 80% $-6 $1,147 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Harmony Tan vs Anna Bondar	Anna Bondar	89¢	100¢	$-8	loss
Cosmo Jarvis announced as next James Bond?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
FTX doesn't start payouts in 2024?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will FTX payouts start in Q4 2024?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Fed rate hike in 2024?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 50% $-15 $519 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	Team Yandex	46¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner	Vitality	59¢	100¢	+$25	win
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1	Monte	71¢	100¢	+$16	win
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - CCT Series 7 Group A	Yellow Submarine	80¢	100¢	+$6	win
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Zero Tenacity	40¢	0¢	+$7	win
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Nigma Galaxy	56¢	100¢	$-0	loss
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)	Natus Vincere	78¢	100¢	+$32	win
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Natus Vincere (BO1)	paiN	33¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	19¢	0¢	$-29	loss
League of Legends: Dplus KIA vs. OKSavingsBank BRION	Dplus KIA	69¢	0¢	$-16	loss

Weather 40% $-144 $16,791 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?	No	71¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?	Yes	34¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?	Yes	43¢	0¢	$-0	loss
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.30-1.34°C?	No	80¢	0¢	$-4	loss

Sports 69% $-4,120 $223,604 vol · 775 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	45¢	44¢	+$3	win
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	56¢	56¢	$-4	loss
Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres	Seattle Mariners	53¢	0¢	$-4	loss
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Milwaukee Brewers	72¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	49¢	0¢	$-8	loss
Rockets vs. Lakers	Rockets	67¢	66¢	$-6	loss
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	77¢	76¢	$-29	loss
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	70¢	68¢	$-8	loss
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Raptors	24¢	24¢	+$28	win
Ducks vs. Predators	Ducks	49¢	100¢	+$0	win