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Geopolitics 57% +$41,719 $1,236,706 vol · 225 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	50¢	70¢	+$0	—
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	50¢	30¢	+$0	—
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	45¢	0¢	$-29	loss
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	55¢	0¢	$-200	loss
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	57¢	0¢	$-1,170	loss
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	74¢	76¢	+$42	win
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$206	win
Will Israel annex Syrian territory before July?	No	90¢	100¢	+$318	win
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	21¢	28¢	$-60	loss
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?	No	59¢	100¢	+$2,480	win

Sports 75% +$8,711 $13,497 vol · 8 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?	Yes	51¢	100¢	+$5,429	win
Marlins vs. Nationals	Marlins	50¢	100¢	+$1,842	win
Commanders vs. Eagles	Eagles	90¢	100¢	+$447	win
76ers vs. Magic	Magic	62¢	100¢	+$306	win
Stars vs. Rangers	Stars	63¢	100¢	+$744	win
Rockets vs. Pelicans	Rockets	77¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-54	loss

Finance 67% +$5,663 $9,041 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	33¢	100¢	+$6,276	win
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	No	43¢	100¢	+$477	win
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-1,090	loss

Other 60% +$5,590 $45,371 vol · 35 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by April 30, 2026?	No	52¢	96¢	+$1,094	win
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	68¢	100¢	+$400	win
Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	No	71¢	100¢	+$290	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	66¢	99¢	+$1,005	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	68¢	100¢	+$942	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?	No	50¢	100¢	$-490	loss
U.S. withdraws from Syria in 2025?	No	73¢	100¢	+$313	win
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$306	win
IDF Chief Eyal  Zamir out by December 31, 2025?	No	82¢	100¢	+$239	win
Gaza mass population relocation in 2025?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-5	loss

Politics 67% +$5,055 $88,372 vol · 34 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	Yes	11¢	0¢	+$246	win
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?	No	48¢	0¢	$-170	loss
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?	Yes	36¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?	No	95¢	100¢	+$6	win
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?	No	90¢	100¢	+$710	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?	No	84¢	100¢	+$1,111	win
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?	Yes	8¢	0¢	+$1,035	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?	Yes	53¢	100¢	+$27	win
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?	No	47¢	0¢	$-111	loss
Will Trump visit Israel in May?	No	91¢	100¢	+$205	win

Economy 86% +$3,997 $95,163 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$1,017	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	91¢	100¢	+$2,046	win
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?	No	84¢	100¢	+$188	win
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before July?	Yes	53¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before June?	No	66¢	0¢	+$44	win
Houthis agree to end attacks on shipping before May?	Yes	36¢	0¢	+$375	win
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?	Yes	61¢	100¢	+$330	win

Elections 33% +$575 $3,462 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$927	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <36% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	83¢	100¢	$-72	loss
Will TISZA win 54%+ of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?	No	76¢	99¢	$-279	loss

Crypto 67% +$364 $10,125 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	No	54¢	0¢	$-8	loss
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?	Yes	59¢	100¢	$-93	loss
Will Fartcoin be listed on a t1 exchange before May?	No	92¢	100¢	+$30	win
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?	No	38¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$362	win
Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?	No	21¢	100¢	+$333	win
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?	No	21¢	100¢	$-343	loss
Bitcoin above $105,000 on January 31?	No	48¢	0¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024?	No	48¢	100¢	+$54	win

Culture 100% +$172 $340 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $35-40m?	Yes	59¢	100¢	+$162	win
Will Kendrick Lamar release another album in 2024?	No	90¢	100¢	+$10	win

Weather 0% $-47 $97 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will global temperature increase by between 1.37-1.41ºC in March 2025?	Yes	36¢	0¢	$-47	loss

Tech 25% $-834 $2,078 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$207	win
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	No	23¢	0¢	$-941	loss
Will GPT-5 be released on August 8?	Yes	3¢	0¢	$-5	loss