Win rate
72.3%
34 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$14,114
realized $2,847 · unrealized $11,267
Portfolio
$11,267
volume $175,565
Predictions
46
1.1/day · avg $3,817
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 12/01/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 83% +$11,547
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 90¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | Yes | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$6,673 | win |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | Yes | 81¢ | 86¢ | +$157 | win |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | win |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | win |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | T1 Academy | 75¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 70¢ | 99¢ | +$4,292 | win |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72¢ | 99¢ | +$158 | win |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | No | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$892 | win |
Elections 90% +$2,359
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 60¢ | 66¢ | +$67 | win |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36¢ | 34¢ | $-84 | loss |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | win |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 67¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | win |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 67¢ | 82¢ | +$431 | win |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 72¢ | 82¢ | +$73 | win |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%? | Yes | 76¢ | 91¢ | +$14 | win |
| Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? | Yu-ih | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$1,347 | win |
| Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
Politics 78% +$1,092
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Yes | 69¢ | 78¢ | +$111 | win |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Yes | 72¢ | 70¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 85¢ | 90¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | win |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | +$508 | win |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | Yes | 56¢ | 100¢ | +$732 | win |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-550 | loss |
Geopolitics 100% +$779
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 70¢ | 75¢ | +$64 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 55¢ | 65¢ | +$58 | win |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | Yes | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | win |
| Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$331 | win |
Sports 50% $-39
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | loss |
Esports 20% $-638
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | loss |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Liquid | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Gentle Mates | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
Crypto 25% $-804
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on Mar 29? | Yes | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | win |
| ETH above $3,500 on Mar 29? | Yes | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | loss |
| Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? | No | 84¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? | No | 78¢ | 0¢ | $-462 | loss |
Recent Trades (47)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$104 | $100 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | Bilibili Gaming | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | Hanwha Life Esports Challengers | 67.9¢ | 0¢ | $-210 | $210 | 16/04/2026 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | KT Rolster | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$170 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Invictus Gaming | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 | T1 Academy | 74.6¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $43 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Liquid | 57.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: RED Canids vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Gentle Mates | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | No | 69.5¢ | 99¢ | +$4,292 | $9,961 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 84.2¢ | 100¢ | +$271 | $3,909 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 67.5¢ | 100¢ | +$168 | $9,232 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Yes | 72.0¢ | 99¢ | +$158 | $425 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | Yes | 80.9¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $2,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 67.5¢ | 82¢ | +$431 | $2,000 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 71.6¢ | 82¢ | +$73 | $777 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%? | Yes | 75.8¢ | 91¢ | +$14 | $73 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9? | Yes | 46.6¢ | 100¢ | +$233 | $204 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | Yes | 84.2¢ | 86¢ | +$35 | $1,299 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30? | Yes | 84.9¢ | 90¢ | +$7 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam? | Yes | 95.0¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | $4,813 | 25/01/2026 |
| Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 80.4¢ | 100¢ | +$508 | $2,077 | 03/06/2025 |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | No | 61.2¢ | 100¢ | +$892 | $1,665 | 30/04/2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$732 | $933 | 30/04/2025 |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | No | 60.4¢ | 0¢ | $-550 | $1,484 | 30/04/2025 |
| Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year? | Yes | 15.2¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $140 | 12/12/2024 |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year? | Yes | 20.8¢ | 0¢ | $-777 | $777 | 12/12/2024 |
| USA wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 92.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $90 | 11/08/2024 |
| China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 22.9¢ | 0¢ | $-46 | $66 | 11/08/2024 |
| Bitcoin above $65,000 on Mar 29? | Yes | 87.2¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $221 | 29/03/2024 |
| ETH above $3,500 on Mar 29? | Yes | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-248 | $248 | 29/03/2024 |
| Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? | No | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$331 | $796 | 29/02/2024 |
| Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? | No | 84.0¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | $869 | 29/02/2024 |
| Will BTC hit $60,000 in February? | No | 77.6¢ | 0¢ | $-462 | $508 | 29/02/2024 |
| Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? | Yu-ih | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1,347 | $1,783 | 13/01/2024 |
| Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? | Yes | 78.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $136 | 13/01/2024 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April? | Yes | 72.3¢ | 70¢ | $-6 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Viktor Orbán by April 30, 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | $200 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will Putin visit China by May 31? | Yes | 81.4¢ | 86¢ | +$157 | $2,515 | 31/05/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 78¢ | +$111 | $806 | 31/05/2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Yes | 55.4¢ | 65¢ | +$58 | $1,973 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 36.0¢ | 34¢ | $-84 | $1,999 | 07/06/2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 66¢ | +$67 | $1,000 | 07/06/2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Yes | 70.5¢ | 75¢ | +$64 | $1,000 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | Yes | 42.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6,673 | $7,560 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 90.0¢ | 91¢ | +$1 | $100 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 68.8¢ | 100¢ | +$92 | $203 | 31/12/2026 |