AllByMyseIf

Geopolitics 82% +$331,235 $2,464,046 vol · 121 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$286	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	87¢	100¢	$-11,205	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	55¢	78¢	+$2,904	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	21¢	0¢	+$2,367	win
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	13¢	0¢	$-10,275	loss
Iran leadership change by December 31?	No	36¢	70¢	+$795	win
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	16¢	9¢	+$13	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	18¢	0¢	$-2,027	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$7	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	22¢	0¢	+$279	win

Politics 76% +$69,698 $1,972,950 vol · 434 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-69	loss
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	99¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	89¢	100¢	+$1,543	win
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	No	24¢	0¢	+$162	win
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?	Yes	11¢	15¢	+$153	win
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$109	win
Trump declassifies UFO files before 2027?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$79	win
Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?	Yes	86¢	100¢	+$17	win
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	88¢	92¢	$-827	loss

Tech 74% +$42,963 $224,735 vol · 73 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	57¢	72¢	+$478	win
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	77¢	62¢	$-483	loss
Will Tesla dip to $405 in January?	No	75¢	100¢	+$190	win
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?	No	99¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$17	win
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	No	86¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	12¢	0¢	+$11	win
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	No	47¢	100¢	+$771	win
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	36¢	100¢	+$32,185	win
Will Bianca Censori be the #2 searched person on Google this year?	No	73¢	100¢	+$9	win

Sports 100% +$12,372 $51,545 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	No	67¢	100¢	+$9,769	win
Will Travis Scott perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?	Yes	30¢	0¢	+$2,234	win
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?	Yes	64¢	100¢	+$289	win
Will RFK end Influenza vaccine recommendation in 2025?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Claudia Sheinbaum Pardo be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?	No	92¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Hikaru Nakamura finish second in the 2025 FIDE World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Hikaru Nakamura finish third in the 2025 FIDE World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Cup?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in October?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$56	win
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in October?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win

Crypto 56% +$11,595 $93,620 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	Yes	54¢	100¢	+$28	win
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?	No	14¢	0¢	$-1,081	loss
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?	No	66¢	0¢	$-64	loss
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 27?	Down	19¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 1-7?	Yes	26¢	100¢	$-497	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 December 1-7?	No	73¢	100¢	+$864	win
Will Bryan Johnson say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while tripping balls?	No	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 29?	Down	6¢	0¢	$-124	loss
Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 October 27-November 2?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win

Economy 81% +$3,604 $17,887 vol · 21 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	66¢	100¢	+$3,590	win
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	+$13	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	No	2¢	0¢	+$29	win
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Next BLS jobs report during government shutdown?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-132	loss
Will Bryan Johnson say "Blueprint" 10+ times while tripping balls?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Bryan Johnson say "Don’t Die" while tripping balls?	Yes	78¢	100¢	$-215	loss
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$14	win

Finance 80% +$360 $15,298 vol · 10 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	Yes	19¢	0¢	+$215	win
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by December 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	83¢	28¢	$-48	loss
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	77¢	0¢	+$102	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	10¢	100¢	+$986	win
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?	No	20¢	100¢	+$116	win
Walmart (WMT) Up or Down After Earnings?	Up	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	33¢	1¢	+$154	win
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	80¢	26¢	$-1,173	loss

Esports 100% +$207 $1,119 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Dota 2: Passion UA vs Runa Team (BO3)	Passion UA	48¢	50¢	+$2	win
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3)	G2	72¢	100¢	+$205	win

Mentions 100% +$18 $216 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Shayne say "Mention" during 60 Minutes?	No	98¢	100¢	+$2	win
Longest Bill Ackman tweet of all time by Wednesday?	No	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bill Ackman tweets another manifesto by Wednesday?	No	75¢	100¢	+$15	win

Elections 33% $-33 $340,033 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	50¢	19¢	$-74,160	loss
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	50¢	81¢	+$74,160	win
Will Shayne say "Election" 3+ times during 60 Minutes?	No	19¢	0¢	$-33	loss

Culture 80% $-398 $1,435 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Olivia Rodrigo release an album in 2025?	No	88¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Henry Kissinger be named in newly released Epstein files?	No	89¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4.25m and 5m?	No	89¢	100¢	+$11	win
Will "Black to the Future" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$120	win

Other 70% $-7,295 $1,002,639 vol · 288 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	39¢	24¢	+$76	win
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	No	90¢	99¢	+$125	win
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	51¢	0¢	+$93	win
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	14¢	0¢	+$3	win
Over $30M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	99¢	100¢	+$14	win
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	7¢	0¢	$-149	loss
Lighter Airdrop before January 1?	No	15¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?	Yes	53¢	84¢	+$50	win
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	92¢	91¢	+$30	win
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?	Yes	31¢	14¢	+$21	win