Win rate
27.9%
453 W / 1172 L
Total PnL
$5,776
realized $-3,947 · unrealized $9,722
Portfolio
$9,722
volume $346,112
Predictions
2,890
234.4/day · avg $120
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 31/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Esports 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LNG Esports win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
Culture 35% $-111
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Lorne" be the April film with the highest domestic gross on May 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Anaconda" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "Anaconda" be the top US Netflix movie this week? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 18m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m? | Yes | 10¢ | 100¢ | +$317 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-399 | loss |
| Will "Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally - Harry Styles" be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of April 11? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Economy 5% $-155
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | No | 99¢ | 96¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-9 | loss |
Crypto 0% $-388
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-373 | loss |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will "Something Very Bad Is Going to Happen: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Finance 0% $-443
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering? | No | 64¢ | 81¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Arxis’s market cap be less than $10B at market close on IPO day? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-24 | loss |
| Will Madison Air’s market cap be between $12.5B and $13.0B at market close on IPO day? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | 100¢ | 94¢ | $-37 | loss |
Sports 55% $-1,356
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claudia Sheinbaum be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Rod Brind'Amour win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award? | No | 100¢ | 98¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Evan Mobley win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Andrew Nembhard win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-16 | loss |
| Will Jake Oettinger win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Charles Lee win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-29 | loss |
Tech 28% $-1,508
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-128 | loss |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Amazon have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Amazon have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-10 | loss |
| Will Amazon have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-363 | loss |
| Will MONOPOLY GO!Chat be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10? | No | 90¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
Politics 5% $-1,647
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will John Ratcliffe be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-25 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-370 | loss |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Will Ukraine win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Harris English win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
Mentions 15% $-1,801
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in April 2026? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in April 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-194 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | +$171 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | Yes | -1¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-130 | loss |
Geopolitics 26% $-3,518
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Reza Pirzadeh be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Israel strike 15 or more countries in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Russia? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$139 | win |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iraq? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-166 | loss |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Iran? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-70 | loss |
| Will the winner of the Albania/Poland/Sweden/Ukraine playoff win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 87¢ | 86¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Israel be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Military action against Iran ends before April 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 11, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-291 | loss |
Weather 22% $-3,980
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 17? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 16? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-40 | loss |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C or below on April 15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 14? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 14% $-14,057
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Séamas McGrattan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 97¢ | 98¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 36¢ | 36¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Miguel Uribe Turbay win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | -0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bright Armenia win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-558 | loss |
| Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-209 | loss |
Other 41% $-16,097
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-328 | loss |
| Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-373 | loss |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ThunderTalk Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Will Ted Cruz be confirmed to be the sender of the “I beat Bush” email to Epstein in 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | loss |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-126 | loss |
| Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | No | 60¢ | 0¢ | $-72 | loss |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1? | Yes | -11¢ | 0¢ | +$53 | win |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-43 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%? | No | 44.1¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $65 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 12.1¢ | 97¢ | $-3 | $43 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.5 and 4.0%? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-5 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 6.0%? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $157 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 3.5%? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $67 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 96.5¢ | 99¢ | $-12 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 98¢ | $-14 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on April 17? | No | 96.0¢ | 99¢ | $-14 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 96.5¢ | 99¢ | $-14 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | $-14 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on April 17? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 77°F or below on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 99¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $180 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $351 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $351 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 17? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on April 17? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $351 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or higher on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on April 17? | No | 97.3¢ | 96¢ | $-28 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C or higher on April 17? | No | 98.0¢ | 99¢ | $-29 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 17? | No | 99.0¢ | 98¢ | $-29 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 17? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on April 17? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-30 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on April 16? | No | 89.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $27 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 16? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on April 16? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 16? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Arxis not IPO before June 2026? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 16? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C or below on April 16? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-11 | $21 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 15? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | $-12 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |