onchainbuda

Other 61% +$429 $96,963 vol · 58 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-18	loss
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	92¢	98¢	$-1	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	68¢	36¢	$-7	loss
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	96¢	52¢	$-34	loss
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	26¢	16¢	$-169	loss
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	Yes	53¢	100¢	$-404	loss
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-22	loss
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	52¢	76¢	+$781	win
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	40¢	37¢	$-2	loss

Culture 100% +$11 $2,184 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$1	win

Weather 100% +$0 $60 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% $-3 $294 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-3	loss

Sports 67% $-26 $3,276 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	46¢	44¢	+$-0	—
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$43	win
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $20?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)	Pimblett	69¢	0¢	$-69	loss

Geopolitics 73% $-42 $93,058 vol · 30 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$3	win
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$20	win
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	68¢	76¢	+$98	win
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	94¢	94¢	$-1	loss
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	99¢	99¢	+$1	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	+$1	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$16	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$7	win
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	No	97¢	0¢	$-1	loss
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss

Mentions 79% $-74 $220,839 vol · 155 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$6	win
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-5	loss
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-16	loss
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-24	loss
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	$-24	loss
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	No	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	+$3	win

Crypto 86% $-167 $148,200 vol · 94 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	$-13	loss
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	Gold	94¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 18?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 12?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?	Yes	27¢	0¢	+$68	win
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will Solana reach $100 in March?	No	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in March?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 25?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$9	win

Politics 40% $-219 $6,142 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	21¢	8¢	$-140	loss
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	62¢	100¢	$-168	loss
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?	Yes	74¢	100¢	+$234	win
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$0	win

Tech 44% $-750 $74,923 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	97¢	99¢	$-35	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$22	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$4	win
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	No	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	$-12	loss
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$132	win
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$4	win

Elections 43% $-1,925 $19,526 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-1,306	loss
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	69¢	0¢	$-58	loss
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$13	win
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?	Yes	47¢	0¢	$-555	loss
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?	Yes	20¢	0¢	+$80	win