Win rate
52.5%
985 W / 892 L
Total PnL
$-1,567
realized $-4,023 · unrealized $2,456
Portfolio
$2,456
volume $643,721
Predictions
2,717
56.6/day · avg $237
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/03/2023 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Other 51% +$523
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Superform FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | 69¢ | 100¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 57¢ | 99¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | 8¢ | 0¢ | +$6 | win |
| Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 72¢ | 66¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | No | 56¢ | 58¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | loss |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Yes | 33¢ | 98¢ | +$274 | win |
| Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
| Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | Yes | 27¢ | 20¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | No | 54¢ | 83¢ | +$10 | win |
Sports 53% +$304
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 22¢ | 30¢ | +$26 | win |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics | Athletics | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies | Los Angeles Dodgers | 73¢ | 73¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twins | Minnesota Twins | 62¢ | 62¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres | Seattle Mariners | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs | Chicago Cubs | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Mirra Andreeva | Mirra Andreeva | 36¢ | 48¢ | +$7 | win |
Weather 50% +$50
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. Auburn Tigers | Auburn Tigers | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
| Wichita State Shockers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | win |
| Spread: Tulsa Golden Hurricane (-3.5) | Wichita State Shockers | 47¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas Jayhawks | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-23 | loss |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5 | Over | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5) | Missouri Tigers | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanes | Miami Hurricanes | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | win |
| Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-9.5) | St. Johns Red Storm | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | win |
| Louisville Cardinals vs. Miami Hurricanes | Louisville Cardinals | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | loss |
Finance 50% +$3
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Zakharova (-1.5) vs Bondar (+1.5) | Bondar | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | win |
| Miami Open: Anastasia Zakharova vs Anna Bondar | Anna Bondar | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | loss |
Economy 0% $-23
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 30¢ | 4¢ | $-23 | loss |
Elections 50% $-29
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? | No | 68¢ | 93¢ | +$8 | win |
Tech 50% $-46
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026 | Yes | 79¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Sibir Novosibirsk | Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 85¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | win |
Crypto 33% $-98
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Miami Open: Ethan Quinn vs Hubert Hurkacz | Hubert Hurkacz | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | loss |
| Miami Open: Solana Sierra vs Jaqueline Cristian | Jaqueline Cristian | 51¢ | 50¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down on February 16? | Up | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-32 | loss |
| Will Netherlands finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | Yes | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Yes | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
Esports 60% $-224
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | FURIA Esports | 76¢ | 76¢ | $-0 | loss |
| LoL: Aeterna Esports vs TITANS (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | Aeterna Esports | 59¢ | 58¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Valorant: DRX vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Global Esports | 46¢ | 46¢ | $-0 | loss |
| LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | GMBLERS ESPORTS | 42¢ | 42¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 41¢ | 3¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Spirit | 60¢ | 80¢ | +$10 | win |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Gentle Mates | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 | Under | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 68¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | loss |
Politics 25% $-570
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 33¢ | 16¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | Yes | 42¢ | 60¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $-34 | loss |
| Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30? | No | 5¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | No | 13¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | No | 63¢ | 100¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-358 | loss |
Culture 60% $-732
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 36¢ | 54¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-98 | loss |
| Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-61 | loss |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 42m and 46m? | Yes | 24¢ | 100¢ | +$63 | win |
| Will "Hoppers" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 46m and 50m? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 45m and 50m? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-19 | loss |
| Will GOAT be the highest grossing movie this weekend? | Yes | 69¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | win |
| Will "Wuthering Heights" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 39m? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-346 | loss |
Geopolitics 51% $-823
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | No | 61¢ | 70¢ | +$17 | win |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Yes | 40¢ | 30¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Yes | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | Yes | 35¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | No | 79¢ | 92¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | No | 67¢ | 24¢ | $-18 | loss |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 8¢ | $-28 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues vs. Utah | Blues | 51.5¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $103 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5 | Under | 21.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5 | Over | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$44 | $56 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers: O/U 5.5 | Over | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $73 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Avalanche | Avalanche | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $64 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Ducks | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Joao Fonseca vs Alexander Zverev | Joao Fonseca | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 17/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Oilers | Canucks | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators | Predators | 47.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 17/04/2026 |
| Ducks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 17/04/2026 |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | Over | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5 | Under | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 17/04/2026 |
| Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | Over | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-53 | $53 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah: O/U 6.5 | Under | 55.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $55 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames: O/U 5.5 | Over | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-56 | $56 | 17/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Flames | Kings | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-59 | $59 | 17/04/2026 |
| Sharks vs. Jets | Jets | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-60 | $60 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5 | Over | 48.0¢ | 48¢ | +$1 | $96 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 68¢ | +$0 | $68 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | T1 | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $63 | 17/04/2026 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5 | Over | 58.0¢ | 56¢ | $-1 | $58 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Colossal Gaming (BO1) - LIT Regular Season | GMBLERS ESPORTS | 42.0¢ | 42¢ | $-0 | $42 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner | MOUZ | 41.0¢ | 3¢ | $-37 | $41 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 48.0¢ | 48¢ | $-0 | $29 | 17/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs | Spirit | 60.0¢ | 80¢ | +$10 | $30 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-04-17? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 68¢ | $-0 | $27 | 17/04/2026 |
| Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) | FC Internazionale Milano | 57.0¢ | 56¢ | $-0 | $23 | 17/04/2026 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 54.0¢ | 54¢ | $-0 | $22 | 17/04/2026 |
| UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5 | Over | 53.0¢ | 52¢ | $-0 | $21 | 17/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5 | Over | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$53 | $47 | 16/04/2026 |
| AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5 | Over | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$45 | $55 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Gentle Mates | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $29 | 16/04/2026 |
| Kraken vs. Golden Knights | Golden Knights | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $44 | 16/04/2026 |
| Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? | No | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $73 | 16/04/2026 |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets | New York Mets | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 16/04/2026 |
| Spread: Clippers (-5.5) | Clippers | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Athletics vs. New York Yankees | New York Yankees | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | MOUZ | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 16/04/2026 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 | Over | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $51 | 16/04/2026 |
| Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5 | Under | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | $52 | 16/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Vitality | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-68 | $68 | 16/04/2026 |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | Clippers | 71.0¢ | 0¢ | $-106 | $106 | 16/04/2026 |
| Stars vs. Sabres | Stars | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $54 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks: O/U 5.5 | Over | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $57 | 15/04/2026 |
| LoL: ZYB Esport vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Regular Season | Galions | 75.8¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $99 | 15/04/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5 | Over | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $22 | 15/04/2026 |
| Maple Leafs vs. Senators | Senators | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $45 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 | Over | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$23 | $37 | 15/04/2026 |