Win rate
65.7%
92 W / 48 L
Total PnL
$186
realized $-508 · unrealized $694
Portfolio
$694
volume $977,815
Predictions
3,091
17.9/day · avg $316
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 17/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 72% +$105
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Zach Werenski win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? | Yes | 33¢ | 66¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | No | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$19 | win |
| Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 14¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs? | Yes | 19¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card) | Rodriguez | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card) | Zellhuber | 66¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Crypto 67% +$60
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | $60k | 11¢ | 18¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 39¢ | 56¢ | +$1 | win |
| Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 14¢ | 16¢ | +$1 | win |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 9¢ | 12¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 9-15? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 February 9-15? | No | 70¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 15? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 15? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Other 51% +$51
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Alberta join the US? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding? | No | 21¢ | 15¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? | Yes | 14¢ | 24¢ | +$13 | win |
| Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting? | No | 83¢ | 98¢ | +$1 | win |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | No | 37¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Italy win? | No | 70¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
Geopolitics 90% +$35
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 18¢ | 16¢ | +$6 | win |
| US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | +$3 | win |
| Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by April 30, 2026? | No | 91¢ | 98¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | 51¢ | 50¢ | +$11 | win |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | No | 83¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 3.5 | Under | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Borussia Dortmund advance to the round of 16? | No | 15¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by December 31? | Yes | 18¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 100% +$20
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Paul Bondar be the Republican Nominee for TX-32? | No | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Tom Sell be the Republican Nominee for TX-19? | No | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$10 | win |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week? | Down | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Mentions 75% +$18
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026? | No | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in December 2025? | Yes | 40¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025? | Yes | 27¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
Culture 100% +$7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 16¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 22¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 56% +$5
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | Yes | 29¢ | 37¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? | No | 52¢ | 55¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election? | No | 9¢ | 9¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election? | No | 3¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 21¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 14¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Finance 50% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9? | Up | 50¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
Tech 67% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 77¢ | 93¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $195? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | loss |
Esports 50% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Team Falcons | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
| Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs | Team Heretics | 67¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 50% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 13? | No | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 10? | No | 31¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 10? | No | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-7 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 26.1¢ | 0¢ | +$21 | $1,421 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 15.5¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $328 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Auburn win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 1.6¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $28 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will Texas win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament? | Yes | 13.8¢ | 0¢ | +$13 | $111 | 04/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin all time high by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $27 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Anyone's Legend win the LPL 2026 Split 1 playoffs? | Yes | 19.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $65 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the United States of America win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $73 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | Israel | 51.1¢ | 50¢ | +$11 | $1,176 | 31/03/2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? | No | 91.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $370 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | No | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $40 | 26/03/2026 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0.4¢ | 0¢ | +$5 | $27 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Italy win? | No | 70.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $22 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 13? | No | 89.3¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $30 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on March 13? | No | 93.9¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $37 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | Yes | 0.3¢ | 0¢ | +$15 | $55 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | No | 83.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $398 | 01/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card) | Rodriguez | 70.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 01/03/2026 |
| UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card) | Zellhuber | 66.1¢ | 0¢ | $-4 | $38 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 11, 2026? | No | 76.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $55 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will a contestant numbered 26 - 50 win Beast Games: Season 2? | Yes | 4.5¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $22 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will Chloe Kim (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Halfpipe - Women's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 38.7¢ | 100¢ | +$37 | $45 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Red Gerard (USA) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $34 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 44.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $92 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will France win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $23 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $209 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Camille Rast (SUI) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 86.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $28 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Julia Simon (FRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Women's 12.5km Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $42 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Julia Taubitz (GER) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Luge - Women's Singles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | Yes | 67.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Norway win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Biathlon - Men's 4 X 7.5km Relay at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 51.8¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $22 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics? | No | 48.8¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | $27 | 23/02/2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 16.1¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $24 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will "One Battle After Another" win Best Film at the 2026 BAFTA Awards? | No | 22.0¢ | 0¢ | +$2 | $29 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-22? | No | 87.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $60 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Villarreal CF vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | No | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? | No | 92.9¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $20 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-22? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $26 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2026-02-22? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $27 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw? | No | 57.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $23 | 22/02/2026 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5 | Under | 59.7¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $23 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. SV Werder Bremen end in a draw? | No | 72.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $22 | 22/02/2026 |
| Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 1.5 | Over | 68.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $35 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-21? | No | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $39 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will RB Leipzig vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | No | 83.5¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $23 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 59.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 21/02/2026 |
| West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5 | Under | 90.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $22 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $29 | 21/02/2026 |
| Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 64.9¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $22 | 21/02/2026 |
| West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5 | Over | 43.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $22 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-02-21? | No | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $37 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21? | Yes | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $28 | 21/02/2026 |