MFS-000

Other 83% +$601 $8,333 vol · 32 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	23¢	24¢	+$0	—
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the July Meeting?	No	78¢	84¢	+$4	win
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	81¢	80¢	$-2	loss
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?	Yes	82¢	82¢	+$0	win
Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	32¢	58¢	+$89	win
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	No	91¢	97¢	+$3	win
Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?	Yes	64¢	70¢	+$20	win
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	55¢	41¢	+$5	win
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	55¢	82¢	+$24	win
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	28¢	20¢	+$8	win

Elections 56% +$171 $2,144 vol · 16 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	86¢	96¢	+$14	win
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	94¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	41¢	38¢	$-8	loss
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	39¢	39¢	+$10	win
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	38¢	43¢	+$40	win
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	4¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	69¢	100¢	+$167	win

Sports 80% +$168 $325 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Yes	8¢	9¢	$-3	loss
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	2¢	2¢	+$3	win
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?	Yes	83¢	100¢	+$11	win

Economy 100% +$95 $545 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	47¢	96¢	+$62	win
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	36¢	97¢	+$30	win
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win

Geopolitics 60% +$63 $2,417 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	68¢	66¢	$-22	loss
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$0	—
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?	No	51¢	14¢	$-7	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-15	loss

Finance 100% +$34 $226 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
ECB rate hike in 2026?	Yes	65¢	77¢	+$2	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	16¢	14¢	+$16	win
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	75¢	86¢	+$16	win