rocky42001

Geopolitics 58% +$6,981 $141,696 vol · 141 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-5	loss
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Ceasefire	68¢	100¢	+$42	win
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?	Leadership Change	31¢	0¢	$-162	loss
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	No	2¢	0¢	$-56	loss
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	0¢	0¢	$-352	loss
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	98¢	100¢	$-218	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	15¢	8¢	+$198	win
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	83¢	92¢	$-21	loss
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	74¢	84¢	+$20	win
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	27¢	16¢	$-9	loss

Sports 49% +$5,624 $145,941 vol · 501 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Ilya Sorokin win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?	Yes	56¢	4¢	$-24	loss
Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2025–2026 NHL Vezina Trophy?	No	55¢	10¢	$-19	loss
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	Yes	2¢	0¢	+$5	win
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	98¢	98¢	+$3	win
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	51¢	52¢	+$3	win
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees	Los Angeles Angels	37¢	100¢	+$158	win
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Washington Nationals	35¢	100¢	+$12	win
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	58¢	0¢	$-176	loss
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	46¢	0¢	$-240	loss
Cleveland Guardians vs. Atlanta Braves	Cleveland Guardians	46¢	100¢	$-1	loss

Mentions 48% +$2,206 $83,398 vol · 138 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	No	12¢	0¢	$-27	loss
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?	Yes	49¢	0¢	$-50	loss
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	88¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	No	3¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 130-159 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	No	31¢	0¢	$-18	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	Yes	2¢	0¢	$-93	loss
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	No	19¢	0¢	$-97	loss
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 28 to March 2, 2026?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	No	34¢	0¢	$-109	loss

Politics 65% +$1,870 $50,034 vol · 161 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	69¢	100¢	+$201	win
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	44¢	51¢	+$35	win
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	No	79¢	84¢	+$17	win
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	Yes	24¢	0¢	$-63	loss
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?	Yes	22¢	16¢	$-24	loss
Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	Yes	63¢	49¢	$-96	loss
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	No	2¢	0¢	$-20	loss
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	67¢	58¢	+$2	win
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	29¢	42¢	+$54	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	65¢	60¢	+$127	win

Finance 51% +$1,418 $7,785 vol · 41 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	11¢	8¢	$-3	loss
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	86¢	92¢	+$14	win
Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?	No	10¢	12¢	+$4	win
Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	88¢	88¢	+$2	win
Will Bank of New York Mellon (BK) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$4	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?	Up	42¢	100¢	+$3	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 16?	Down	18¢	0¢	$-91	loss
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?	No	16¢	0¢	+$69	win
Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	72¢	100¢	+$51	win
Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?	No	21¢	100¢	+$42	win

Weather 66% +$1,248 $24,671 vol · 289 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on April 19?	No	70¢	80¢	+$11	win
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C or higher on April 19?	No	90¢	84¢	$-3	loss
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 74°F or higher on April 19?	Yes	29¢	20¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 18?	No	58¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on April 18?	Yes	43¢	100¢	+$41	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 18?	Yes	23¢	0¢	$-9	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 18?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-34	loss
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 18?	No	13¢	0¢	$-7	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 18?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-14	loss
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18?	No	23¢	0¢	$-30	loss

Economy 45% +$272 $7,635 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	60¢	92¢	+$113	win
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	96¢	99¢	+$3	win
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs	Coppin State Eagles	18¢	100¢	+$101	win
Coppin State Eagles vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs	South Carolina State Bulldogs	68¢	0¢	$-302	loss
ENPPI vs. Smouha SC: O/U 2.5	Over	14¢	100¢	+$859	win
Will the Philippines win Miss Universe 2025?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-102	loss

Elections 55% $-326 $29,701 vol · 69 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?	Yes	26¢	25¢	$-8	loss
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	98¢	97¢	$-2	loss
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	No	2¢	3¢	$-30	loss
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$21	win
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?	No	88¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Moderates win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	29¢	0¢	$-138	loss
Will Social Democrats win the most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$27	win
Will Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?	No	65¢	100¢	+$3	win
Will François Briançon be the next mayor of Toulouse following the 2026 Toulouse municipal election?	Yes	8¢	0¢	$-43	loss

Crypto 48% $-423 $75,362 vol · 382 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will GMGN launch a token by December 31, 2025?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?	No	52¢	52¢	$-8	loss
Will something else than the listed options occur in respect to Fed Chair confirmation and rates?	No	91¢	97¢	+$12	win
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn	Cameron Norrie	66¢	100¢	+$47	win
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinn	Ethan Quinn	23¢	0¢	+$19	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 21?	No	80¢	84¢	$-8	loss
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?	No	98¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 17?	Yes	95¢	100¢	+$2	win
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 16?	Down	16¢	0¢	+$88	win
Ethereum Up or Down on April 16?	Down	34¢	0¢	+$109	win

Culture 53% $-628 $20,475 vol · 47 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater than 52m?	No	99¢	100¢	+$1	win
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	No	21¢	0¢	$-292	loss
Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m?	Yes	15¢	0¢	$-81	loss
Will "Nobody 2" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?	No	96¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?	No	31¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 19.5m and 21m?	Yes	13¢	0¢	$-101	loss
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$58	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	8¢	0¢	$-59	loss
Will "Tyler Perry's Joe's College Road Trip" be the top global Netflix movie this week?	No	15¢	0¢	$-49	loss
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 13, 2026)	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$11	win

Tech 46% $-955 $18,800 vol · 59 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	No	65¢	73¢	$-9	loss
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?	Yes	22¢	27¢	+$32	win
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	Yes	48¢	35¢	$-28	loss
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?	No	30¢	65¢	$-10	loss
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 30 above $210?	Yes	25¢	0¢	$-95	loss
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $255 on April 1?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$36	win
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 24?	No	42¢	0¢	$-219	loss
FC Metaloglobus București vs. FC Petrolul Ploieşti: O/U 2.5	Over	26¢	0¢	$-323	loss
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	No	12¢	0¢	$-26	loss
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?	Yes	78¢	100¢	+$10	win

Esports 49% $-2,295 $52,173 vol · 213 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will G2 Esports qualify to MSI 2026?	No	29¢	41¢	+$9	win
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #4 Playoffs	Abyssal	36¢	0¢	$-111	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner	Team Falcons	33¢	0¢	+$17	win
LoL: G2 Esports vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	G2 Esports	84¢	86¢	+$4	win
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs	Spirit	48¢	100¢	+$94	win
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs MODUS (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs	MODUS	57¢	0¢	+$66	win
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Team Falcons	36¢	100¢	+$64	win
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs	Metizport	41¢	100¢	+$113	win
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs	ARCRED	56¢	0¢	+$13	win
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Season	VfB eSports	15¢	0¢	+$8	win

Other 45% $-12,011 $359,113 vol · 1370 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?	Yes	12¢	0¢	$-133	loss
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	13¢	0¢	$-139	loss
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	98¢	99¢	$-122	loss
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1650 by December 31?	No	82¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	78¢	92¢	$-19	loss
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	49¢	26¢	+$104	win
Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?	Yes	3¢	7¢	+$31	win
Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Yes	17¢	8¢	$-33	loss
Clavicular sentenced to prison?	Yes	29¢	12¢	$-27	loss
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	4¢	4¢	+$16	win