Pumbanator

Other 86% +$1,057 $6,084 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	91¢	93¢	+$19	win
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	70¢	84¢	+$78	win
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	94¢	+$1	win
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?	No	66¢	68¢	+$1	win
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	65¢	100¢	+$643	win
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?	No	87¢	100¢	+$78	win
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?	No	64¢	100¢	+$37	win
Netanyahu out by March 31?	No	97¢	100¢	+$18	win
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?	No	21¢	0¢	$-22	loss

Politics 58% +$168 $2,027 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	94¢	100¢	+$14	win
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	70¢	84¢	+$26	win
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	62¢	60¢	$-25	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	60¢	60¢	$-28	loss
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	89¢	100¢	+$63	win
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?	No	72¢	100¢	+$98	win
Will Trump cut off trade with Spain?	No	88¢	100¢	+$15	win
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	25¢	10¢	$-21	loss

Elections 67% +$134 $1,283 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	82¢	84¢	+$1	win
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	No	7¢	0¢	$-48	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	70¢	100¢	+$224	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$14	win
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?	Yes	5¢	0¢	$-62	loss
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$5	win

Geopolitics 65% $-2,841 $19,556 vol · 37 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	63¢	100¢	+$46	win
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?	No	82¢	91¢	+$28	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	40¢	0¢	$-12	loss
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	30¢	18¢	$-47	loss
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	53¢	30¢	$-57	loss
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	61¢	70¢	+$160	win
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	73¢	85¢	+$40	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	65¢	33¢	$-91	loss
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win