Win rate
31.0%
27 W / 60 L
Total PnL
$-1,310
realized $-2,735 · unrealized $1,425
Portfolio
$1,425
volume $141,087
Predictions
101
1.8/day · avg $1,397
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 23/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 19/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 19/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Economy 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Mentions 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Geopolitics 93% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Crypto 71% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 2? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
Politics 0% $-17
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
Other 27% $-159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 89¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 100¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | loss |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | win |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 64¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | win |
Sports 12% $-1,109
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Raptors | 44¢ | 0¢ | $-1,005 | loss |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Thunder | 72¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | win |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | Wild | 38¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | loss |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Under | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | win |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Predators | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | loss |
| Magic vs. Lakers | Magic | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raptors vs. Pistons | Raptors | 44.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,005 | $1,005 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $69 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on March 18? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $154 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-03-15? | No | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14? | No | 75.9¢ | 0¢ | $-113 | $113 | 14/03/2026 |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Thunder | 71.9¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $97 | 09/03/2026 |
| Wild vs. Avalanche | Wild | 37.9¢ | 0¢ | $-57 | $57 | 08/03/2026 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Rockets | Rockets | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $91 | 07/03/2026 |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | No | 77.0¢ | 100¢ | +$20 | $68 | 07/03/2026 |
| Islanders vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$116 | $111 | 05/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $87 | 03/03/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Predators | Predators | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-114 | $114 | 02/03/2026 |
| Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01? | Yes | 64.0¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $69 | 01/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | No | 99.3¢ | 0¢ | $-3 | $355 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 27? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 27/02/2026 |
| Magic vs. Lakers | Magic | 36.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $20 | 25/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on February 10? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 10/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 7? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 07/02/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 06/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $33 | 05/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $45 | 04/02/2026 |
| Blue Jackets vs. Devils | Devils | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | $126 | 04/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 2? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $29 | 02/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $36 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $38 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $39 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $34 | 31/01/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $35 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $37 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,425 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,227 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 99¢ | $-1 | $1,243 | 16/05/2026 |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $914 | 27/05/2026 |
| Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $927 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,085 | 31/05/2026 |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,492 | 03/06/2026 |
| Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,587 | 03/06/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | No | 89.0¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | $890 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $980 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,066 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $1,069 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $1,730 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $2,450 | 01/07/2026 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99.4¢ | 99¢ | $-3 | $2,951 | 01/07/2026 |