Win rate
68.1%
94 W / 44 L
Total PnL
$-7,334
realized $-9,839 · unrealized $2,505
Portfolio
$2,505
volume $988,278
Predictions
254
5.1/day · avg $3,891
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 30/01/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Sports 67% +$62
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 83¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 66¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Rockets | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Suns | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | win |
Geopolitics 57% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hashem Hosseini Bushehri be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 92¢ | 91¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | Yes | 54¢ | 6¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | No | 96¢ | 94¢ | +$0 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 84¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026? | No | 28¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
Tech 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Economy 0% +$-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Culture 0% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will "How to Make a Killing" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Weather 0% $-11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in January 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-11 | loss |
Crypto 85% $-88
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | loss |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
Politics 55% $-100
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 61¢ | 61¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 28¢ | $-1,887 | loss |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Esports 50% $-182
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Wildcard | 32¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 97¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | loss |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs | G2 Esports | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs | G2 Esports | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
Other 37% $-1,040
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 1000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to 15–20 years in prison? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | +$-0 | loss |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | No | 66¢ | 66¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Will Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 41¢ | 40¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? | Yes | 6¢ | 7¢ | +$0 | win |
Elections 25% $-1,307
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 95¢ | 94¢ | $-27 | loss |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 17¢ | 17¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election? | Yes | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-1,276 | loss |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Finance 50% $-4,501
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $800B and $900B at market close on IPO day? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will ARKO Petroleum Corp.'s market cap be between $850M and $900M at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-4,508 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 4? | Up | 4¢ | 0¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 17? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $1,345 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 17? | Yes | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $414 | 17/04/2026 |
| LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season | LOUD | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $38 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 15? | Yes | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | $-13 | $3,271 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 14? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$21 | $4,281 | 14/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 13? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $892 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 94.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $202 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will Keegan Bradley win the 2026 Masters tournament? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $348 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 12? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,585 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12? | Yes | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $598 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 11? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,059 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $448 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 9? | No | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $1,766 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 8? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $2,182 | 08/04/2026 |
| Hawks vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-50 | $660 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $2,668 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 6? | No | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $1,870 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | Wildcard | 32.2¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $65 | 06/04/2026 |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Rockets | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $1,820 | 06/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | FOKUS | 96.9¢ | 0¢ | $-189 | $1,138 | 06/04/2026 |
| Suns vs. Bulls | Suns | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $1,984 | 05/04/2026 |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Cavaliers | 88.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $3,520 | 05/04/2026 |
| Wizards vs. Nets | Nets | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $980 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 5? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,098 | 05/04/2026 |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Celtics | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $1,996 | 05/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 4? | No | 99.2¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $1,199 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 4? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $1,122 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $1,747 | 02/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 1? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$39 | $1,181 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 1? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $4,265 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 31? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$11 | $1,441 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 31? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $3,124 | 31/03/2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | No | 95.6¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $9,984 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 31? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $136 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $79 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 84.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $288 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $-15 | $3,727 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 30? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $4,551 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 30? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,561 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 29? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $1,950 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 29? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,576 | 29/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 28? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $5,342 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $4,514 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 28? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | $-162 | $5,628 | 28/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 27? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $3,760 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $862 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $862 | 27/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 26? | No | 96.4¢ | 100¢ | +$166 | $4,456 | 26/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 25? | No | 97.3¢ | 100¢ | +$119 | $4,336 | 25/03/2026 |