Win rate
81.2%
147 W / 34 L
Total PnL
$-1,362
realized $-2,838 · unrealized $1,477
Portfolio
$1,477
volume $190,954
Predictions
213
4.9/day · avg $896
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 10/11/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Tech 89% +$159
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | Yes | 80¢ | 0¢ | +$30 | win |
| Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Over $60M committed to the Solomon public sale? | No | 93¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | win |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Crypto 100% +$113
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USR depeg by December 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Solana reach $130 in March? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 19? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 February 9-15? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Elizabeth Holmes launch a coin by December 31? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
Esports 72% +$61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy - Map 2 Winner | Cloud9 | 57¢ | 58¢ | +$2 | win |
| Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Nova Esports | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Karmine Corp | 41¢ | 0¢ | $-296 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | JD Gaming | 37¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | loss |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner | TYLOO | 76¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | loss |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner | Leviatán Esports | 90¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 79¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season | Galions | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | loss |
| Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Gen.G Esports | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | win |
Sports 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Mason Jones vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims) | Mason Jones | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days? | No | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | win |
Culture 100% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Mentions 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Weather 100% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on April 8? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on March 23? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Elections 0% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Chile's election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Finance 50% $-128
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,400-$6,500 in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 17? | Up | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | loss |
Politics 80% $-154
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 5? | No | 82¢ | 0¢ | $-82 | loss |
| Trump announces new drug boat strike by December 31? | Yes | 67¢ | 100¢ | $-86 | loss |
| Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19? | No | 48¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | — |
| Will Trump and Mohammed bin Salman shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 18 2025? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Geopolitics 73% $-481
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 80¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026? | Yes | 34¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | No | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-121 | loss |
| Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | +$5 | win |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026? | No | 32¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 29¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | win |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Yes | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$-0 | — |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
Other 81% $-957
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX? | No | 87¢ | 99¢ | +$24 | win |
| Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Based FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Hyperlend FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? | Yes | 6¢ | 7¢ | +$8 | win |
| Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | +$2 | win |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Nova Esports | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $246 | 16/04/2026 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Over | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $413 | 16/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alpha | Karmine Corp | 41.0¢ | 0¢ | $-296 | $485 | 16/04/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $194 | 15/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner | Aurora Gaming | 89.5¢ | 100¢ | +$260 | $2,321 | 14/04/2026 |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner | JD Gaming | 87.8¢ | 100¢ | +$28 | $200 | 14/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B | Aurora Gaming | 98.4¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $123 | 14/04/2026 |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha | JD Gaming | 37.0¢ | 100¢ | $-3 | $57 | 14/04/2026 |
| Valorant: TYLOO vs JD Gaming - Map 1 Winner | TYLOO | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $190 | 14/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner | Leviatán Esports | 90.2¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | $1,008 | 13/04/2026 |
| Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season | F9 EICAR | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $695 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $98 | 13/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 70m? | Yes | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $25 | 13/04/2026 |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | Bilibili Gaming | 79.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $22 | 13/04/2026 |
| Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season | Galions | 18.2¢ | 0¢ | $-51 | $52 | 13/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | Gen.G Esports | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$50 | $1,783 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Gen.G Esports vs Paper Rex - Map 2 Winner | Paper Rex | 93.7¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $341 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Wolves Esports | 30.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $112 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: F9 EICAR vs Galions - Map 1 Winner | F9 EICAR | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $36 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | XLG Gaming | 47.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $118 | 12/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | KRÜ Esports | 90.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $225 | 11/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega | Sentinels | 6.9¢ | 0¢ | $-5 | $23 | 11/04/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026? | No | 86.2¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $254 | 10/04/2026 |
| Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,000 | 09/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C or below on April 8? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $197 | 07/04/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $125 | 07/04/2026 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Under | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $490 | 07/04/2026 |
| Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage | B8 | 58.5¢ | 0¢ | +$78 | $1,170 | 06/04/2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 6? | Up | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $67 | 06/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $34 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $264 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $64 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March? | Yes | 89.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $40 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $344 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Solana reach $130 in March? | No | 91.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $46 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in March? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $298 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $800 | 01/04/2026 |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | No | 88.4¢ | 100¢ | +$41 | $884 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | No | 29.0¢ | 0¢ | +$18 | $58 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 23, 2026? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $1,698 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | No | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $595 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,741 | 31/03/2026 |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $1,580 | 31/03/2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition | No | 11.0¢ | 0¢ | +$4 | $46 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $3,500 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $2,000 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | No | 95.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $572 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $581 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | No | 96.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $97 | 31/03/2026 |