← Back
0x4F3934fACaA5f1da2aF544D11D190755D8B184e2-1723024497151
0x4f3934facaa5f1da2af544d11d190755d8b184e2 · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
36.0%
9 W / 16 L
Total PnL
$-694
realized $-1,798 · unrealized $1,104
Portfolio
$1,104
volume $33,678
Predictions
29
0.3/day · avg $1,161
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 07/08/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Politics 50% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 41¢ | 39¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 72¢ | 84¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
Finance 50% +$-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? | Yes | 50¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | — |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | No | 50¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day? | No | 50¢ | 60¢ | +$105 | win |
| Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50¢ | 40¢ | $-105 | loss |
Economy 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Sports 0% $-1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Other 0% $-2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1 | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1 | No | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Fed rate cut by November 7? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
Elections 0% $-6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | No | 50¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | — |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | loss |
Crypto 55% $-671
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 5AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-223 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET | Up | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 52¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | win |
Recent Trades (35)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$117 | $117 | 23/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-126 | $128 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1 | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $563 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1 | No | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $563 | 31/01/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$73 | $76 | 18/01/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 7AM ET | Down | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-196 | $196 | 14/01/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 5AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$72 | $75 | 28/12/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 24, 7AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$90 | $93 | 24/12/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-223 | $223 | 08/12/2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $563 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $563 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast come in second in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $563 | 16/11/2025 |
| Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | No | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $563 | 16/11/2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 5AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 28/10/2025 |
| Solana Up or Down - October 22, 7AM ET | Up | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $92 | 22/10/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 51.5¢ | 100¢ | +$70 | $75 | 19/10/2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5AM ET | Down | 52.2¢ | 0¢ | $-545 | $545 | 19/10/2025 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Yes | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $21 | 20/01/2025 |
| Fed rate cut by December 18? | Yes | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $225 | 18/12/2024 |
| Fed rate cut by November 7? | Yes | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $233 | 07/11/2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | No | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $244 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election? | No | 98.5¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $251 | 05/11/2024 |
| 2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, R House | No | 97.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $257 | 05/11/2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Minnesota in the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | $-4 | $187 | 05/11/2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2024 meeting? | No | 99.4¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $198 | 18/09/2024 |
| USA wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | $-1 | $738 | 11/08/2024 |
| Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day? | No | 50.0¢ | 60¢ | +$105 | $499 | 22/04/2026 |
| Will Encore Medical’s market cap be less than $45M at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 40¢ | $-105 | $499 | 22/04/2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 72.0¢ | 84¢ | +$15 | $91 | 31/12/2026 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 28¢ | +$0 | $563 | 01/01/2027 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? | No | 50.0¢ | 73¢ | +$0 | $563 | 01/01/2027 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 27¢ | +$0 | $563 | 01/01/2027 |
| Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? | No | 50.0¢ | 72¢ | +$0 | $563 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 50.0¢ | 61¢ | +$0 | $500 | 07/11/2028 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 40.9¢ | 39¢ | $-0 | $750 | 07/11/2028 |