Win rate
51.1%
594 W / 569 L
Total PnL
$-80,450
realized $-81,170 · unrealized $720
Portfolio
$720
volume $1,986,568
Predictions
1,244
5.1/day · avg $1,597
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 09/06/2024 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 66% +$6,020
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | loss |
| VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 69¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
| US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31? | No | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$332 | win |
| Senators vs. Capitals | Senators | 55¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Sharks vs. Senators | Senators | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$4,018 | win |
| Senators vs. Oilers | Oilers | 51¢ | 100¢ | +$431 | win |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 70¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | win |
| SC Freiburg vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5 | Over | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$93 | win |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-07? | Yes | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$166 | win |
Esports 45% +$3,512
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Trace Esports | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | win |
| Counter-Strike: WW Team vs illwill (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Qualifier Playoffs | illwill | 67¢ | 0¢ | $-250 | loss |
| Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 | Aurora | 66¢ | 100¢ | +$1,026 | win |
| LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffs | DN SOOPers Challengers | 49¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs | PARIVISION | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 227.5 | Under | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | FURIA | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-200 | loss |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffs | FURIA | 65¢ | 100¢ | +$1,997 | win |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Team Falcons | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$253 | win |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs MOUZ (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | Tundra Esports | 63¢ | 100¢ | +$204 | win |
Tech 100% +$243
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale? | Yes | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$243 | win |
Economy 0% $-40
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | No | 1¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | loss |
Culture 0% $-64
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dijon win Producer of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-64 | loss |
Weather 0% $-150
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on March 29? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $-150 | loss |
Elections 40% $-2,074
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-2,505 | loss |
| Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$766 | win |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Yes | 73¢ | 0¢ | $-217 | loss |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 35¢ | 0¢ | $-119 | loss |
Crypto 50% $-2,339
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | Ethan Quinn | 61¢ | 100¢ | +$374 | win |
| Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elizabeth Mandlik | Francesca Jones | 48¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | Down | 46¢ | 100¢ | +$552 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$249 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | Down | 54¢ | 100¢ | +$152 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET | Up | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-1,000 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | Up | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-258 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 27, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET | Down | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$252 | win |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Down | 51¢ | 0¢ | $-500 | loss |
Politics 33% $-2,401
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-2,888 | loss |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March? | No | 17¢ | 100¢ | +$498 | win |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | Yes | 10¢ | 0¢ | $-10 | loss |
Other 55% $-18,712
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch? | Yes | 55¢ | 100¢ | +$401 | win |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 68¢ | 41¢ | $-962 | loss |
| Kash Patel out by April 30? | No | 83¢ | 72¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Yes | 13¢ | 26¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Oeiras 3: Rebeka Masarova vs Elena Ruxandra Bertea | Elena Ruxandra Bertea | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will Falcons win IEM Rio 2026? | No | 73¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 50¢ | 100¢ | +$431 | win |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18? | No | 37¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 62¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-18? | No | 36¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | loss |
Sports 47% $-68,268
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 51¢ | 61¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 58¢ | 57¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | Arizona Diamondbacks | 57¢ | 100¢ | +$113 | win |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Iga Swiatek vs Laura Siegemund | Laura Siegemund | 7¢ | 0¢ | $-22 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Vera Zvonareva | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 64¢ | 0¢ | $-678 | loss |
| Wild vs. Stars | Stars | 53¢ | 2¢ | $-470 | loss |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | loss |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 65¢ | 0¢ | $-2,600 | loss |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Panthers | 43¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | win |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 39¢ | 0¢ | $-316 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$431 | $510 | 18/04/2026 |
| Barcelona Open, Qualification: Ethan Quinn vs Nikoloz Basilashvili | Ethan Quinn | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$374 | $1,299 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18? | No | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | +$1 | $23 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Viking FK win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | $-28 | $78 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-04-18? | No | 36.0¢ | 0¢ | $-100 | $100 | 18/04/2026 |
| FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 60.9¢ | 0¢ | $-130 | $130 | 18/04/2026 |
| Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-300 | $300 | 18/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekic | Donna Vekic | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-483 | $483 | 18/04/2026 |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Vera Zvonareva | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-678 | $678 | 18/04/2026 |
| Wild vs. Stars | Stars | 53.0¢ | 2¢ | $-470 | $500 | 18/04/2026 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-18? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$79 | $130 | 18/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Donna Vekic vs Karolina Pliskova | Donna Vekic | 51.0¢ | 100¢ | +$514 | $1,071 | 17/04/2026 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 1.5 | Over | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$55 | $155 | 17/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Hernan Casanova | Gonzalo Bueno | 71.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $795 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Stefano Travaglia vs Mattia Bellucci | Mattia Bellucci | 59.4¢ | 100¢ | $-9 | $474 | 17/04/2026 |
| Blues vs. Utah | Utah | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-190 | $190 | 17/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Jelena Ostapenko vs Gabriela Ruse | Jelena Ostapenko | 64.0¢ | 0¢ | $-683 | $1,363 | 17/04/2026 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Milwaukee Brewers | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2,600 | $2,600 | 17/04/2026 |
| Monza: Arthur Fery vs Valentin Royer | Valentin Royer | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$115 | $201 | 16/04/2026 |
| AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 58.9¢ | 100¢ | +$84 | $120 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Lilli Tagger vs Liudmila Samsonova | Liudmila Samsonova | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-55 | $562 | 16/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Karolina Pliskova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova | Ekaterina Alexandrova | 74.0¢ | 0¢ | $-139 | $149 | 16/04/2026 |
| Red Wings vs. Panthers | Panthers | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$159 | $120 | 15/04/2026 |
| Campinas: Gonzalo Bueno vs Lucio Ratti | Gonzalo Bueno | 75.0¢ | 100¢ | +$25 | $88 | 15/04/2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $81 | 15/04/2026 |
| Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5 | Over | 76.0¢ | 0¢ | $-145 | $145 | 15/04/2026 |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Penguins | 39.0¢ | 0¢ | $-316 | $316 | 15/04/2026 |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Kings | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-900 | $900 | 15/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Flyers | 36.2¢ | 100¢ | +$793 | $497 | 14/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Shuai Zhang | Anastasia Potapova | 69.0¢ | 100¢ | +$47 | $717 | 14/04/2026 |
| Valorant: Trace Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega | Trace Esports | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $24 | 14/04/2026 |
| Spread: Predators (-1.5) | Predators | 38.0¢ | 0¢ | $-683 | $683 | 14/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Robin Montgomery vs Elvina Kalieva | Elvina Kalieva | 57.0¢ | 100¢ | +$215 | $634 | 13/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Tamara Korpatsch vs Maria Timofeeva | Tamara Korpatsch | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$172 | $248 | 13/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Iryna Shymanovich vs Donna Vekic | Donna Vekic | 82.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $101 | 13/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Francesca Jones vs Elizabeth Mandlik | Francesca Jones | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | $-0 | $480 | 13/04/2026 |
| Madrid: Whitney Osuigwe vs Simona Waltert | Simona Waltert | 72.0¢ | 0¢ | $-41 | $45 | 13/04/2026 |
| ACF Fiorentina vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | $103 | 13/04/2026 |
| Levante UD vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5 | Over | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | $-128 | $128 | 13/04/2026 |
| Spread: Utah (-1.5) | Utah | 38.4¢ | 0¢ | $-617 | $617 | 13/04/2026 |
| Upper Austria Ladies Linz, Qualification: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anhelina Kalinina | Anhelina Kalinina | 61.0¢ | 0¢ | $-621 | $635 | 13/04/2026 |
| Genoa CFC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 53.0¢ | 100¢ | +$585 | $660 | 12/04/2026 |
| Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) | VfB Stuttgart | 54.0¢ | 100¢ | +$94 | $110 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-12? | Yes | 40.5¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $99 | 12/04/2026 |
| Canadiens vs. Islanders | Islanders | 53.0¢ | 0¢ | $-1,228 | $1,228 | 12/04/2026 |
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Sharks | 65.6¢ | 0¢ | $-4,200 | $4,200 | 12/04/2026 |
| Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 49.7¢ | 100¢ | +$434 | $510 | 11/04/2026 |
| BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 65.0¢ | 0¢ | $-140 | $140 | 11/04/2026 |
| Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-04-11? | Yes | 41.6¢ | 0¢ | $-410 | $410 | 11/04/2026 |
| Devils vs. Red Wings | Red Wings | 56.2¢ | 0¢ | $-3,040 | $3,040 | 11/04/2026 |