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0x4ea1F16852e8291903ebf8E01fC726911Ba74B4D-1770140063742
0x4ea1f16852e8291903ebf8e01fc726911ba74b4d · polymarket profile ↗
Win rate
54.4%
81 W / 68 L
Total PnL
$266
realized $-456 · unrealized $723
Portfolio
$723
volume $36,121
Predictions
186
2.0/day · avg $194
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 03/02/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Sports 40% +$162
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Colorado Rockies | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$398 | win |
| Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros | Houston Astros | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-103 | loss |
| Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolina | Linda Noskova | 25¢ | 0¢ | $-52 | loss |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Cleveland Guardians | 82¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | win |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians | Baltimore Orioles | 15¢ | 0¢ | $-96 | loss |
Crypto 55% +$127
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Down | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - March 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 48¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 48¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | win |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | loss |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Down | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 45¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - March 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Up | 46¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | loss |
| Solana Up or Down - March 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 47¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | win |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Down | 42¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
Other 50% +$11
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | No | 80¢ | 39¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | No | 88¢ | 99¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? | Yes | 67¢ | 8¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Yes | 43¢ | 61¢ | +$22 | win |
| BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo | Francisco Cerundolo | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-143 | loss |
| BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolo | Alexander Zverev | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | win |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand | New Zealand | 27¢ | 100¢ | +$131 | win |
| Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev | Andrey Rublev | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$68 | win |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand | Bangladesh | 74¢ | 0¢ | $-87 | loss |
| Barcelona Open: Tomas Machac vs Andrey Rublev | Tomas Machac | 53¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | loss |
Geopolitics 71% +$6
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 64¢ | 84¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 77¢ | 82¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 34¢ | 16¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 88¢ | 94¢ | +$1 | win |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | No | 88¢ | 97¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 42¢ | $-5 | loss |
Politics 50% $-0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | Yes | 29¢ | 57¢ | +$5 | win |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | No | 78¢ | 60¢ | $-5 | loss |
Mentions 50% $-26
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | loss |
Finance 0% $-27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 15¢ | 2¢ | $-27 | loss |
Elections 50% $-66
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | No | 76¢ | 73¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 15¢ | 8¢ | $-136 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | No | 74.5¢ | 100¢ | +$17 | $51 | 17/04/2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? | Yes | 23.1¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 17/04/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $26 | 03/03/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - March 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | $28 | 03/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$43 | $40 | 02/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-71 | $72 | 02/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | Down | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-42 | $42 | 02/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $38 | 02/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | Up | 46.0¢ | 0¢ | $-31 | $31 | 02/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - March 2, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 02/03/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET | Down | 47.3¢ | 100¢ | +$64 | $58 | 01/03/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | Down | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$61 | $44 | 01/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | Down | 27.0¢ | 0¢ | $-62 | $63 | 01/03/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | Up | 39.5¢ | 0¢ | $-37 | $37 | 01/03/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 28, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | Down | 50.8¢ | 0¢ | $-38 | $39 | 01/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | Up | 48.0¢ | 0¢ | $-29 | $30 | 01/03/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET | Up | 48.4¢ | 0¢ | $-27 | $27 | 01/03/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Up | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-49 | $49 | 28/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Up | 49.2¢ | 0¢ | $-20 | $20 | 28/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | Up | 55.0¢ | 100¢ | +$35 | $42 | 27/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Down | 42.0¢ | 100¢ | +$30 | $22 | 27/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Up | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$22 | $35 | 27/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET | Down | 45.8¢ | 0¢ | $-39 | $40 | 27/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | Down | 45.5¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 27/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Up | 53.9¢ | 100¢ | +$40 | $47 | 26/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Down | 50.8¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 26/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-44 | $44 | 26/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 26, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Up | 49.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $22 | 26/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Down | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$96 | $92 | 25/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 25, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | Down | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$69 | $75 | 25/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Down | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $112 | 25/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET | Up | 50.0¢ | 100¢ | +$46 | $46 | 25/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | Up | 43.8¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $225 | 25/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Down | 46.3¢ | 0¢ | $-223 | $225 | 25/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | Down | 50.5¢ | 0¢ | $-225 | $225 | 25/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Down | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $125 | 24/02/2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Down | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$91 | $125 | 24/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET | Up | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $112 | 24/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Down | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$85 | $123 | 24/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | Up | 57.1¢ | 100¢ | +$83 | $111 | 24/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Down | 62.0¢ | 100¢ | +$77 | $125 | 24/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Down | 43.7¢ | 100¢ | +$62 | $48 | 24/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Down | 58.1¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $53 | 24/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | Down | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$34 | $26 | 24/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET | Down | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$33 | $57 | 24/02/2026 |
| Solana Up or Down - February 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 58.7¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $44 | 24/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Down | 80.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $49 | 24/02/2026 |
| XRP Up or Down - February 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Down | 22.5¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 24/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET | Down | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$56 | $42 | 23/02/2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET | Down | 48.0¢ | 100¢ | +$54 | $50 | 23/02/2026 |