Win rate
87.8%
72 W / 10 L
Total PnL
$244
realized $-1,963 · unrealized $2,207
Portfolio
$2,207
volume $16,282
Predictions
90
1.2/day · avg $181
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 15/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Crypto 92% +$332
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 34¢ | 76¢ | +$42 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | Yes | 31¢ | 69¢ | +$38 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25? | No | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Other 71% +$104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 45¢ | 100¢ | +$110 | win |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | No | 88¢ | 50¢ | $-39 | loss |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 84¢ | 82¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 56¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | loss |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13? | No | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | win |
| Maduro out by January 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-28 | loss |
Politics 100% +$19
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | win |
Sports 100% +$4
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | — |
Tech 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Geopolitics 90% $-61
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 0¢ | $-86 | loss |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? | No | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Weather 80% $-124
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 0¢ | $-134 | loss |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 83¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 8? | Yes | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 08/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by March 31, 2026? | No | 93.5¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $187 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March? | No | 93.3¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $112 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $46 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March? | No | 97.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $97 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March? | No | 97.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $78 | 01/04/2026 |
| Trump out as President by March 31? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $800 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | No | 94.2¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $241 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 91.5¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $91 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | No | 85.8¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $43 | 31/03/2026 |
| Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026? | Yes | 83.4¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $33 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | No | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $55 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $44 | 31/03/2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 0¢ | $-35 | $53 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 25? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $41 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25? | Yes | 99.1¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $90 | 25/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 14? | No | 97.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $89 | 14/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by March 13? | No | 83.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $150 | 13/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? | No | 82.6¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $40 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? | No | 95.1¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $164 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? | No | 97.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $107 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | No | 98.2¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $169 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | No | 95.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $53 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February? | No | 97.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $59 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February? | No | 98.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $49 | 01/03/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 26? | Yes | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $130 | 26/02/2026 |
| Will Great Britain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $326 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will Switzerland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $32 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will South Korea record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 22/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 14? | Yes | 96.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $58 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 14? | No | 98.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $42 | 14/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 12? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $94 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12? | Yes | 94.0¢ | 0¢ | $-54 | $54 | 12/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 11? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $109 | 11/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9? | Yes | 91.0¢ | 100¢ | +$38 | $386 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 9? | Yes | 97.8¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $359 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 9? | No | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $74 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 9? | No | 96.5¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $77 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8? | No | 96.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 9? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $57 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 February 2-8? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $49 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9? | No | 95.0¢ | 0¢ | $-133 | $152 | 09/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 8? | No | 96.6¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $202 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 8? | No | 98.3¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $153 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on February 8? | No | 95.5¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $48 | 08/02/2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 5? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 05/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January? | No | 83.1¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $89 | 01/02/2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January? | No | 96.2¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $125 | 01/02/2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026? | No | 86.0¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $40 | 31/01/2026 |