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Sports 57% +$107,010 $532,243 vol · 122 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Hawks vs. Knicks	Hawks	26¢	22¢	$-150	loss
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?	Yes	80¢	100¢	+$625	win
Rockets vs. Nuggets	Rockets	28¢	0¢	$-562	loss
Cavaliers vs. Magic	Cavaliers	36¢	0¢	$-1,083	loss
Trail Blazers vs. Rockets	Rockets	69¢	100¢	+$205	win
Seahawks vs. Patriots	Patriots	32¢	0¢	$-10,084	loss
Patriots vs. Broncos	Patriots	70¢	100¢	+$6,145	win
Rams vs. Seahawks	Rams	45¢	0¢	$-1,000	loss
Rams vs. Bears	Rams	56¢	100¢	+$10,219	win
Texans vs. Patriots	Texans	39¢	0¢	$-11,053	loss

Politics 49% +$39,943 $854,670 vol · 107 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	7¢	6¢	$-330	loss
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	No	74¢	100¢	+$4,002	win
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	21¢	0¢	$-22,005	loss
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	54¢	39¢	$-1,387	loss
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	73¢	1¢	$-2,566	loss
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	No	90¢	100¢	+$1,189	win
Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?	Yes	46¢	100¢	+$3,997	win
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Kash Patel as FBI Director?	Yes	32¢	100¢	+$1,471	win
Will Trump announce Scott Bessent as next Fed Chair in 2025?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-767	loss
Will Mitch McConnell vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?	No	85¢	100¢	+$37	win

Economy 75% +$11,288 $389,278 vol · 12 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?	Yes	16¢	0¢	$-2,280	loss
Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope?	Yes	11¢	0¢	$-4,899	loss
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$2,756	win
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?	Yes	20¢	0¢	+$24	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?	Yes	92¢	100¢	+$11,178	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?	Yes	18¢	0¢	$-17,689	loss
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$2	win
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$344	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3,173	win
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?	Yes	55¢	0¢	+$1,135	win

Culture 67% +$5,833 $47,905 vol · 15 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$2,569	win
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	98¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	90¢	100¢	+$32	win
Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$31	win
Will Ryan Coogler win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?	No	98¢	100¢	+$10	win
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?	Yes	53¢	0¢	$-5,189	loss
Will "Wicked: For Good" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 163m?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$20	win
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	65¢	100¢	+$11,117	win
Will "The Wild Robot" win Best Animated Feature at the 2025 Oscars?	Yes	73¢	0¢	$-1,897	loss

Geopolitics 55% +$3,971 $44,138 vol · 11 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	71¢	100¢	+$2,106	win
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	35¢	67¢	$-272	loss
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	Yes	46¢	0¢	$-858	loss
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	Yes	70¢	100¢	+$543	win
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?	No	49¢	100¢	+$244	win
US military action against Iran before July?	No	36¢	0¢	+$398	win
Will Matt Dolan be appointed as the next Ohio senator?	Yes	42¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?	Yes	32¢	0¢	$-42	loss
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?	Yes	50¢	100¢	+$148	win
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?	No	54¢	0¢	$-185	loss

Crypto 100% +$3,316 $8,145 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?	No	24¢	0¢	+$290	win
Will Anthony Joshua win by KO/TKO/DQ?	Yes	79¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?	No	50¢	100¢	+$2,071	win
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in 2024?	Yes	75¢	100¢	+$439	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?	No	27¢	0¢	+$93	win
Matt Gaetz Ethics Report made public in November?	Yes	45¢	0¢	+$29	win
Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?	No	66¢	100¢	+$351	win

Finance 100% +$187 $1,146 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 13?	Up	89¢	100¢	+$114	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 4?	Up	76¢	100¢	+$73	win

Tech 50% $-1,166 $12,083 vol · 6 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	32¢	100¢	$-96	loss
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?	No	66¢	100¢	$-761	loss
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?	Yes	73¢	100¢	+$84	win
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30?	Yes	38¢	0¢	$-427	loss
Will Apple launch a MacBook on February 19?	No	73¢	100¢	+$19	win
GPT-5 released in 2024?	No	63¢	100¢	+$15	win

Elections 50% $-5,407 $313,161 vol · 18 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	38¢	66¢	+$1,423	win
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?	Yes	84¢	100¢	+$284	win
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?	No	95¢	100¢	+$3,161	win
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?	Yes	96¢	100¢	+$3,108	win
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	58¢	0¢	$-279	loss
Will the CDU/CSU win 30-35% of the vote in the German election?	Yes	55¢	0¢	$-1,146	loss
Will Elena Lasconi win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?	Yes	67¢	0¢	$-3,920	loss
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	No	33¢	0¢	+$5,866	win
Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?	Yes	76¢	100¢	+$42	win
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?	Yes	6¢	0¢	$-6,235	loss

Other 42% $-53,082 $480,241 vol · 99 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SX?	Yes	14¢	1¢	$-450	loss
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?	Yes	22¢	0¢	$-398	loss
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?	No	65¢	0¢	$-2,902	loss
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?	Yes	9¢	0¢	$-51	loss
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	72¢	99¢	+$650	win
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner	Sinner	85¢	0¢	$-17,903	loss
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?	No	42¢	0¢	$-654	loss
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?	Yes	93¢	100¢	+$24	win
Ole Miss vs. Georgia	Georgia	66¢	0¢	$-7,299	loss
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders	Oregon	53¢	100¢	+$508	win