Win rate
84.5%
71 W / 13 L
Total PnL
$529
realized $-1,424 · unrealized $1,953
Portfolio
$1,953
volume $57,727
Predictions
193
2.7/day · avg $299
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 06/12/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 17/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 17/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 91% +$259
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claude 4.7 released by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Ana Paula Renault be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26? | Yes | 95¢ | 99¢ | $-5 | loss |
| Will Alberto Pimentel be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26? | No | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group B | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group B | Spacestation Gaming | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A | Team Liquid | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 2875 (HIGH) in March? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will gas hit (High) $3.35 by March 31? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 38¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
| Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Esports 92% +$106
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Imperial Esports (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A | Black Dragons e-Sports | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will FURIA win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | BBL Esports | 78¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | Paper Rex | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffs | FURIA Esports | 20¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Valorant: T1 vs EDward Gaming - Map 1 Winner | T1 | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Geopolitics 75% +$104
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 79¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | No | 11¢ | 0¢ | +$104 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
Culture 78% +$56
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | 76¢ | 56¢ | $-9 | loss |
| Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | No | 97¢ | 92¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 44m? | Yes | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m? | Yes | 98¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | win |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | win |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | win |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | Yes | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
Weather 92% +$27
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 17? | No | 95¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 4? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 3? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 20? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | win |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 20? | No | 97¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | loss |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 19? | No | 77¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
Mentions 100% +$14
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? | Yes | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | win |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 22 to January 24, 2026? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Politics 50% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Elections 100% +$2
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | No | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
Tech 100% +$0
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Sports 50% $-7
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Black Dragons e-Sports (BO3) - South America League Kickoff Playoffs | FaZe Clan | 92¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | win |
| Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Black Dragons e-Sports (BO3) - South America League Kickoff Playoffs | Black Dragons e-Sports | 33¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
Finance 0% $-8
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will AMC Entertainment (AMC) beat quarterly earnings? | Yes | 78¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C on April 17? | No | 94.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $24 | 17/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Black Dragons e-Sports (BO3) - South America League Kickoff Playoffs | FaZe Clan | 92.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $212 | 15/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Black Dragons e-Sports (BO3) - South America League Kickoff Playoffs | Black Dragons e-Sports | 32.9¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $34 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will "The Drama" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$7 | $463 | 06/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group B | Ninjas in Pyjamas | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $320 | 05/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs Cloud9 (BO1) - North America League Kickoff Group B | Spacestation Gaming | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $835 | 04/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: LOS vs Team Liquid (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A | Team Liquid | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $919 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be 90°F or higher on April 4? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $403 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 4? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $335 | 04/04/2026 |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Imperial Esports (BO1) - South America League Kickoff Group A | Black Dragons e-Sports | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $64 | 04/04/2026 |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" be the highest grossing movie of this weekend? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,491 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on April 3? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $536 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 3? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $108 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 3? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 78°F or higher on April 3? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $100 | 03/04/2026 |
| Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 1975 (LOW) in March? | No | 99.6¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $309 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 3000 (HIGH) in March? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $257 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will Russell 2000 (RUT) hit 2875 (HIGH) in March? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $72 | 01/04/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $3.75 by March 31? | Yes | 65.8¢ | 100¢ | +$139 | $854 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $3.50 by March 31? | Yes | 89.6¢ | 100¢ | +$29 | $348 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will gas hit (High) $3.35 by March 31? | Yes | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $625 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Yes | 38.1¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $135 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $880 | 31/03/2026 |
| Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31? | No | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $332 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March? | Yes | 99.7¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $177 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the RSF capture Kadugli by March 31? | No | 99.3¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $62 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $200 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 55°F or below on March 31? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | No | 78.6¢ | 100¢ | $-2 | $100 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 5m and 6m? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $1,315 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 54m? | Yes | 98.8¢ | 100¢ | +$9 | $943 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 54m? | No | 99.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $974 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$6 | $675 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | Yes | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $884 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $519 | 30/03/2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m? | Yes | 98.1¢ | 100¢ | +$10 | $611 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m? | No | 98.0¢ | 100¢ | +$5 | $521 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 10m? | Yes | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $1,149 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m? | Yes | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $760 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $50 | 23/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 25°C on March 20? | No | 91.3¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $252 | 21/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 20? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,113 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on March 20? | No | 99.8¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,132 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 20? | No | 97.4¢ | 100¢ | $-14 | $52 | 20/03/2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 19? | No | 76.8¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $40 | 19/03/2026 |
| Will G2 Esports win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 94.0¢ | 100¢ | +$66 | $1,026 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will All Gamers win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 98.6¢ | 100¢ | +$14 | $1,025 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Gentle Mates win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 96.3¢ | 100¢ | +$13 | $350 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will BBL Esports win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 97.7¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $94 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026? | No | 99.9¢ | 100¢ | +$1 | $1,092 | 15/03/2026 |