Win rate
53.7%
36 W / 31 L
Total PnL
$1,133
realized $514 · unrealized $619
Portfolio
$619
volume $29,117
Predictions
123
1.2/day · avg $237
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 22/06/2025 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | no |
Category breakdown
Geopolitics 50% +$1,177
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | Yes | 44¢ | 100¢ | +$196 | win |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Yes | 26¢ | 28¢ | +$3 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | No | 66¢ | 14¢ | $-30 | loss |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | Yes | 54¢ | 100¢ | $-56 | loss |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 74¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | win |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | loss |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 36¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | win |
| Iran strike on US military by January 31? | No | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | No | 18¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | loss |
Other 57% +$348
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 59¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | win |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Yes | 42¢ | 41¢ | $-4 | loss |
| Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | win |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 49¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March? | No | 2¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | loss |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 76¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | loss |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 6¢ | 100¢ | +$224 | win |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 42¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | loss |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 58¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | win |
Sports 100% +$28
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | Yes | 62¢ | 71¢ | +$28 | win |
Finance 50% +$13
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 11? | Up | 59¢ | 100¢ | $-44 | loss |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | Down | 87¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | win |
Politics 0% $-320
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 52¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | loss |
| Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | Yes | 50¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | loss |
Recent Trades (50)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | Yes | 27.8¢ | 100¢ | +$527 | $203 | 15/04/2026 |
| Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorer | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $20 | 15/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15? | Yes | 35.0¢ | 85¢ | $-73 | $196 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-26 | $26 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$36 | $34 | 04/04/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | No | 73.0¢ | 100¢ | +$97 | $307 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6? | No | 74.0¢ | 100¢ | +$88 | $270 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | No | 35.0¢ | 0¢ | +$3 | $49 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | No | 63.0¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $25 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$-0 | $150 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? | No | 15.0¢ | 0¢ | $-0 | $38 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March? | Yes | 76.0¢ | 100¢ | $-6 | $152 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March? | No | 2.4¢ | 0¢ | $-8 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th? | Yes | 32.1¢ | 0¢ | $-99 | $167 | 31/03/2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31? | Yes | 16.0¢ | 0¢ | $-102 | $152 | 31/03/2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 0¢ | $-131 | $294 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Yes | 6.3¢ | 100¢ | +$224 | $30 | 17/03/2026 |
| Nasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 11? | Up | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-44 | $118 | 11/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 10/03/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08? | Yes | 58.0¢ | 100¢ | +$109 | $151 | 08/03/2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | Down | 87.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $418 | 02/03/2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | Yes | 36.1¢ | 100¢ | +$192 | $118 | 28/02/2026 |
| Will CA Osasuna vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | Yes | 69.0¢ | 0¢ | $-24 | $24 | 21/02/2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? | Yes | 40.1¢ | 0¢ | +$12 | $29 | 31/01/2026 |
| Iran strike on US military by January 31? | No | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | $-8 | $25 | 31/01/2026 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-01-14? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 0¢ | $-21 | $21 | 14/01/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11? | Yes | 49.0¢ | 100¢ | +$57 | $55 | 11/01/2026 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-10? | Yes | 41.0¢ | 100¢ | +$42 | $30 | 10/01/2026 |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-10? | Yes | 42.0¢ | 0¢ | $-40 | $40 | 10/01/2026 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 10/01/2026 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $35 | 09/01/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-07? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | +$24 | $49 | 07/01/2026 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? | Yes | 62.0¢ | 0¢ | $-47 | $47 | 03/01/2026 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03? | Yes | 66.0¢ | 100¢ | $-58 | $100 | 03/01/2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | Yes | 50.0¢ | 0¢ | $-90 | $90 | 03/01/2026 |
| Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$15 | $25 | 02/01/2026 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-01? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 0¢ | $-25 | $25 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01? | Yes | 68.0¢ | 0¢ | $-33 | $57 | 01/01/2026 |
| Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025? | No | 18.0¢ | 0¢ | $-9 | $52 | 31/12/2025 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30? | Yes | 49.7¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 30/12/2025 |
| Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-29? | Yes | 61.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $50 | 29/12/2025 |
| Will Egypt win on 2025-12-29? | Yes | 37.0¢ | 0¢ | $-50 | $50 | 29/12/2025 |
| Will Algeria win on 2025-12-28? | Yes | 52.0¢ | 100¢ | +$32 | $35 | 28/12/2025 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-27? | Yes | 43.0¢ | 100¢ | +$49 | $37 | 27/12/2025 |
| Will Senegal win on 2025-12-27? | Yes | 60.0¢ | 0¢ | $-30 | $30 | 27/12/2025 |
| Will Tunisia win on 2025-12-23? | Yes | 59.0¢ | 100¢ | +$18 | $25 | 23/12/2025 |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$31 | $40 | 21/12/2025 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-21? | Yes | 56.0¢ | 100¢ | +$19 | $25 | 21/12/2025 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20? | Yes | 45.0¢ | 100¢ | +$26 | $21 | 20/12/2025 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-20? | Yes | 63.0¢ | 100¢ | +$16 | $27 | 20/12/2025 |