MathieuQ

Finance 100% +$174 $6,445 vol · 3 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 2?	Down	51¢	100¢	+$2	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25?	Up	96¢	100¢	+$143	win
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?	Down	86¢	100¢	+$29	win

Sports 36% +$160 $2,060 vol · 14 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Kings vs. Canucks	Canucks	41¢	100¢	+$31	win
Sharks vs. Predators	Sharks	43¢	100¢	+$164	win
Wild vs. Blues	Blues	53¢	100¢	+$131	win
Sharks vs. Predators: O/U 6.5	Over	51¢	0¢	$-30	loss
Sabres vs. Blackhawks	Blackhawks	36¢	0¢	$-87	loss
Capitals vs. Blue Jackets	Blue Jackets	58¢	0¢	$-94	loss
Canucks vs. Ducks	Canucks	28¢	100¢	+$270	win
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Flyers	55¢	100¢	+$61	win
Red Wings vs. Lightning	Red Wings	37¢	0¢	$-28	loss
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	41¢	0¢	$-64	loss

Weather 92% +$22 $2,689 vol · 13 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on April 14?	No	94¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 13?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on April 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on April 13?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 12?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 11?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 3?	Yes	61¢	0¢	+$4	win

Mentions 100% +$12 $180 vol · 4 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	Yes	55¢	100¢	+$7	win
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win

Elections 80% +$7 $317 vol · 5 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	62¢	50¢	$-3	loss
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?	No	79¢	100¢	+$9	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?	No	98¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 60 seats?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Economy 0% $-23 $89 vol · 1 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	1¢	0¢	$-23	loss

Tech 50% $-23 $124 vol · 2 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of April 13 2026?	No	33¢	0¢	$-23	loss
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on April 10?	Up	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Geopolitics 62% $-43 $17,988 vol · 24 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	76¢	76¢	+$1	win
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$3	win
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	Yes	97¢	100¢	+$2	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	92¢	94¢	$-5	loss
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	62¢	72¢	+$9	win
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	97¢	99¢	$-0	loss
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	87¢	92¢	+$0	win
Will Russia enter Dovha Balka by April 30?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	$-2	loss
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	93¢	94¢	$-3	loss

Politics 71% $-81 $835 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will Christian Hubicki be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?	Yes	90¢	56¢	$-110	loss
Will Trump say "Moon" or "Astronaut" during TPUSA events on April 17?	No	34¢	0¢	+$10	win
Will Trump say "Transgender" during TPUSA events on April 17?	Yes	81¢	100¢	+$16	win
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?	No	92¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?	No	100¢	100¢	$-1	loss
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" or "Biden" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win

Esports 57% $-139 $1,912 vol · 7 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Valorant: BBL Esports vs GIANTX - Map 2 Winner	GIANTX	63¢	0¢	$-24	loss
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A	Vitality	70¢	100¢	$-45	loss
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ESC Gaming (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs	Team Nemesis	74¢	100¢	+$21	win
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs	Astralis	93¢	100¢	+$10	win
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Stage Decider	Yellow Submarine	84¢	0¢	+$2	win
LoL: Misa Esports vs BIG (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffs	Misa Esports	67¢	100¢	+$0	win
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Stage Decider	L1ga Team	14¢	100¢	$-103	loss

Other 80% $-3,599 $35,325 vol · 115 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	98¢	100¢	$-6	loss
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	94¢	95¢	+$0	—
Will Union Berlin qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?	No	31¢	29¢	$-7	loss
North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	90¢	100¢	+$5	win
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	99¢	100¢	+$0	win
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	40¢	36¢	+$10	win
Will Justin Bieber play "Peaches" first at Coachella?	No	100¢	100¢	+$0	win
Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $140 Week of April 13 2026?	Yes	100¢	100¢	+$0	win

Crypto 91% $-5,780 $304,405 vol · 4514 trades

Market	Position	Avg Price	Cur Price	PnL	Status
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	69¢	100¢	+$512	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	36¢	100¢	+$410	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	47¢	100¢	+$339	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	11¢	100¢	+$295	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	68¢	100¢	+$205	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	41¢	100¢	+$189	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	17¢	100¢	+$184	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	54¢	100¢	+$166	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	40¢	100¢	+$158	win
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	22¢	100¢	+$156	win