Win rate
81.2%
13 W / 3 L
Total PnL
$-54
realized $-947 · unrealized $893
Portfolio
$893
volume $131,300
Predictions
818
9.2/day · avg $161
PnL history
Details
| Joined | 04/03/2026 |
|---|---|
| Last activity | 18/04/2026 |
| Profiled at | 18/04/2026 |
| Qualified | yes |
Category breakdown
Other 88% +$166
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 25¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | win |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | No | 61¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | win |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 58¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | loss |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Culture 100% +$15
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 93¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | win |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 96¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | win |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 97¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | win |
Geopolitics 60% +$1
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 81¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | win |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 65¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 81¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | win |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 59¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | loss |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 86¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | win |
Recent Trades (16)
| Market | Position | Avg Price | Cur Price | PnL | Volume | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | No | 59.0¢ | 0¢ | $-2 | $24 | 15/04/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Yes | 25.0¢ | 100¢ | +$12 | $264 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | No | 85.6¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $20 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026? | No | 60.8¢ | 0¢ | +$0 | $32 | 31/03/2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | No | 58.1¢ | 0¢ | $-1 | $581 | 31/03/2026 |
| Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting? | No | 99.5¢ | 100¢ | +$0 | $235 | 18/03/2026 |
| Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 93.0¢ | 100¢ | +$8 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 95.7¢ | 100¢ | +$4 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards? | Yes | 96.7¢ | 100¢ | +$3 | $100 | 15/03/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | No | 81.0¢ | 99¢ | +$0 | $21 | 30/04/2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | No | 65.0¢ | 92¢ | $-0 | $21 | 30/06/2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | Yes | 81.0¢ | 100¢ | +$2 | $24 | 31/12/2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? | No | 48.2¢ | 69¢ | +$77 | $181 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026? | No | 66.9¢ | 80¢ | +$51 | $250 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | No | 82.1¢ | 92¢ | +$23 | $200 | 01/01/2027 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026? | No | 87.5¢ | 92¢ | +$4 | $205 | 01/01/2027 |